Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01276e4e15cda02d7f68581335e9616c855067775a4f6337826929c74b4f65f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 41c | 2,857$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.28 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,761$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 40c | 1,391$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.05 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 42c | 725$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 64c | 650$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 523.56$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 64c | 350$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 159.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 65c | 112.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 43c | 96.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 65c | 70$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 64c | 59.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 50.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 35c | 37.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 54c | 31.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 30.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 59c | 28.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Antalyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.