Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Missouri State Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x045295ffe78237909eb6aefbfbee5602496b297874918bbe4e3df608a76d1bc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogsof Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, Missouri State Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Missouri State Bears | 4c | 2,605$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Missouri State Bears | 2c | 1,900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Missouri State Bears | 23c | 1,549$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.47 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…7132backed Missouri State Bears | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 26c | 1,459$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.72 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Missouri State Bears | 45c | 1,072$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.46 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Missouri State Bears | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked Missouri State Bears | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 45c | 982.27$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.51 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 43c | 864.11$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.06 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Missouri State Bears | 65c | 847.77$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.57 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 35c | 810$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.36 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Missouri State Bears | 51c | 799$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.77 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 47c | 718.04$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.97 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri State Bears | 52c | 717.22$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed Missouri State Bears | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Missouri State Bears | 27c | 617.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.54 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 28c | 546.66$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.98 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 31c | 510.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.1 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Missouri State Bears | 67c | 499.7$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.61 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Missouri State Bears | 63c | 457.09$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.09 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 55c | 400$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 33c | 376$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Missouri State Bears | 69c | 313.7$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 80c | 307.87$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Missouri State Bears | 66c | 293$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Missouri State Bears | 36c | 237.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Missouri State Bears | 66c | 235.24$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Missouri State Bears | 62c | 228.87$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…c9eebacked Missouri State Bears | 66c | 209.52$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 10c | 200$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.21 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri State Bears | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 34c | 179.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 37c | 179.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 20c | 176.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 12c | 164$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Missouri State Bears | 75c | 160$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 63c | 156.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Missouri State Bears | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Missouri State Bears | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Missouri State Bears | 77c | 146.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 29c | 144.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Missouri State Bears | 63c | 142.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 33c | 134.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 34c | 132.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Missouri State Bears | 49c | 130.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Missouri State Bears | 60c | 108$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 20c | 95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Missouri State Bears | 65c | 94.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 52c | 80.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Missouri State Bears | 51c | 78.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 34c | 77.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Missouri State Bears | 69c | 76.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 35c | 64.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…ab94backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 27c | 53.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +273.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Missouri State Bears | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Missouri State Bears | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 35c | 41.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 29c | 40.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Missouri State Bears | 51c | 38.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed Missouri State Bears | 52c | 34.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Missouri State Bears | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 50c | 27.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…9165backed Missouri State Bears | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Missouri State Bears | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Missouri State Bears | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Missouri State Bears | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 56c | 19.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…0886backed Missouri State Bears | 70c | 19.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Missouri State Bears | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Missouri State Bearsthis page
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Missouri State Bears: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Missouri State Bears (-5.5)Louisiana Tech Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.