CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x496513465a7a8e84edb4b799daf066489b51710adb4b90fc9673a2cd914a6750
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Game Huntersof Bad Luck, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Bad Luck | 56c | 4,994$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.22 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Game Hunters | 35c | 2,842$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.77 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Bad Luck | 58c | 1,734$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.03 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Game Hunters | 66c | 1,660$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.51 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…7132backed Bad Luck | 1c | 1,517$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bad Luck | 4c | 639$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Game Hunters | 40c | 625$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Game Hunters | 63c | 553.82$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Bad Luck | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Game Hunters | 30c | 413.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.85 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Game Hunters | 51c | 386$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Bad Luck | 47c | 310.63$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bad Luck | 36c | 208.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Game Hunters | 64c | 137.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Bad Luck | 31c | 135.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Bad Luck | 52c | 55.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Bad Luck | 37c | 53.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Bad Luck | 47c | 32.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Game Hunters | 36c | 28.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…375abacked Game Hunters | 80c | 22.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked Game Hunters | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Game Hunters | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Game Hunters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group StageGame Hunters won
- Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerGame Hunters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.