CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf721634ee007c5d590ca8e5735d25126a878850ec311ec1ef200e85390ff123b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Game Huntersof Bad Luck, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Game Hunters | 61c | 1,121$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.11 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bad Luck | 34c | 911$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.24 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Bad Luck | 21c | 860.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Game Hunters | 66c | 761$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.74 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bad Luck | 25c | 588.42$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Game Hunters | 77c | 566.06$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Bad Luck | 18c | 565.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Game Hunters | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bad Luck | 7c | 427.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed Bad Luck | 29c | 379.25$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bad Luck | 29c | 344$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bad Luck | 19c | 320.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Bad Luck | 39c | 310.23$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bad Luck | 39c | 273.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…97a4backed Game Hunters | 67c | 264.97$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Game Hunters | 76c | 242.04$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…a59bbacked Bad Luck | 39c | 161.54$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…bf60backed Bad Luck | 7c | 161.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Bad Luck | 39c | 144.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Bad Luck | 33c | 143.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Bad Luck | 31c | 132$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Bad Luck | 39c | 126$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Bad Luck | 18c | 113.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Bad Luck | 20c | 109.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Bad Luck | 35c | 108.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Bad Luck | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Game Hunters | 76c | 89.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Game Hunters | 66c | 84.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bad Luck | 15c | 83.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Game Hunters | 77c | 74.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Bad Luck | 28c | 67.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…4b19backed Bad Luck | 21c | 61.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed Game Hunters | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Bad Luck | 39c | 59.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Game Hunters | 65c | 57.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Game Hunters | 76c | 45.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Game Hunters | 62c | 37.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bad Luck | 31c | 36.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Bad Luck | 38c | 30.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Game Hunters | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Game Hunters | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Game Hunters | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Game Hunters | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Game Hunters | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Game Hunters | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerGame Hunters won
- Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs Game Hunters - Map 2 WinnerGame Hunters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.