CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x319191990cf41d157883da505771d67adadd7c35642750304aa83aab622de19b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-KRÜ Esportsof ex-KRÜ Esports, FOLHA AMARELA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ce3…7c48backed FOLHA AMARELA | 0c | 29,153$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed FOLHA AMARELA | 58c | 8,696$5,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066.07 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 45c | 5,601$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.29 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…7132backed FOLHA AMARELA | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 43c | 1,402$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.33 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed FOLHA AMARELA | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…7b07backed FOLHA AMARELA | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 7c | 852.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.24 | 172 | 35.5%61 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 36c | 829.42$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.56 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 51c | 253.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 32c | 232.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOLHA AMARELA | 40c | 221.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 34c | 193.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…2129backed FOLHA AMARELA | 25c | 125.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FOLHA AMARELA | 62c | 97.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 73c | 96.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FOLHA AMARELA | 29c | 73.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…e8efbacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 28c | 50.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ex-KRÜ Esports | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FOLHA AMARELA | 45c | 32.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,120 | 41.9%889 W · 1,231 L | -47.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed ex-KRÜ Esports | 34c | 31.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group StageFOLHA AMARELA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FA (-1.5) vs ex-KRÜ Esports (+1.5)ex-KRÜ Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.