Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia State Panthers vs. James Madison Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f1b82f55cf7f6a8559e1afab5766f3d9547ab10ff15835446fafbaa7a29334b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madison Dukesof Georgia State Panthers, James Madison Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked James Madison Dukes | 71c | 13,292$9,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.68 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia State Panthers | 27c | 9,702$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked James Madison Dukes | 73c | 2,799$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.23 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked James Madison Dukes | 78c | 1,629$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Georgia State Panthers | 28c | 1,000$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.29 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Georgia State Panthers | 23c | 936.68$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.41 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 905.17$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…7132backed Georgia State Panthers | 3c | 899.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked James Madison Dukes | 66c | 750$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Georgia State Panthers | 26c | 739.71$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Georgia State Panthers | 27c | 590.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Georgia State Panthers | 23c | 505.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgia State Panthers | 35c | 485.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.77 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked James Madison Dukes | 73c | 399.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia State Panthers | 36c | 319.78$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked James Madison Dukes | 60c | 308.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed James Madison Dukes | 73c | 240$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed James Madison Dukes | 71c | 214.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 199.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Georgia State Panthers | 39c | 188.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed James Madison Dukes | 57c | 183.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Georgia State Panthers | 33c | 174.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed James Madison Dukes | 68c | 169.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 21c | 169.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked James Madison Dukes | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed James Madison Dukes | 74c | 154$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…ef99backed Georgia State Panthers | 21c | 152.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked Georgia State Panthers | 37c | 149.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 148$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 140.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Georgia State Panthers | 30c | 138$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Georgia State Panthers | 25c | 134.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 133.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Georgia State Panthers | 31c | 126.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Georgia State Panthers | 26c | 119.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgia State Panthers | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 79.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed James Madison Dukes | 60c | 75.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 68.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed James Madison Dukes | 73c | 68.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Georgia State Panthers | 36c | 68.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed James Madison Dukes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed James Madison Dukes | 71c | 66.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…3c7dbacked Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 63.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Georgia State Panthers | 33c | 57.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed James Madison Dukes | 76c | 55.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…d406backed Georgia State Panthers | 37c | 54.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia State Panthers | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked James Madison Dukes | 77c | 49.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…752fbacked James Madison Dukes | 75c | 45.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Georgia State Panthers | 43c | 42.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Georgia State Panthers | 27c | 40.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed James Madison Dukes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…e1abbacked James Madison Dukes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 26c | 38.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked James Madison Dukes | 53c | 29.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed James Madison Dukes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed James Madison Dukes | 71c | 26.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed James Madison Dukes | 74c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed James Madison Dukes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed James Madison Dukes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked James Madison Dukes | 72c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia State Panthers vs. James Madison Dukesthis page
- Georgia State Panthers vs. James Madison Dukes: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.