CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bad Luck - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2e34ff0272317dab65fbe231c68a789765383183c83aa718e6db9215e61fdd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bad Luckof Fake do Biru, Bad Luck
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fake do Biru | 53c | 3,179$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.16 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Bad Luck | 39c | 2,892$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.23 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…7132backed Fake do Biru | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 72c | 952.74$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Bad Luck | 56c | 793.1$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.15 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bad Luck | 34c | 284.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fake do Biru | 38c | 220.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fake do Biru | 64c | 104.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Bad Luck | 36c | 101.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Bad Luck | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Fake do Biru | 35c | 80.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Bad Luck | 37c | 71.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Fake do Biru | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Fake do Biru | 79c | 27.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Fake do Biru | 65c | 21.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bad Luck - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bad Luck (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group StageFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bad Luck - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.