CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bad Luck (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af1b3044aacc6bd6a8f14faf6ed69aca9f2b52dc04fc30149a67c581bcf3a4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, Bad Luck
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bad Luck | 1c | 3,793$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Fake do Biru | 76c | 856$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.09 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Bad Luck | 19c | 814.26$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Bad Luck | 20c | 667.49$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.95 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Bad Luck | 6c | 475$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bad Luck | 19c | 183.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bad Luck | 18c | 168.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Bad Luck | 17c | 155.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fake do Biru | 76c | 148.4$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Fake do Biru | 76c | 131.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…4ec5backed Bad Luck | 29c | 103.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…4d84backed Bad Luck | 27c | 100.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Bad Luck | 24c | 82.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bad Luck | 24c | 71.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Bad Luck | 29c | 67.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Fake do Biru | 75c | 64.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Bad Luck | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fake do Biru | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fake do Biru | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 67c | 19.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…e45abacked Fake do Biru | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…e404backed Fake do Biru | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bad Luck (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bad Luck - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Bad Luck - Map 2 WinnerBad Luck won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.