Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Richmond Spiders vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd4987a173b2409d70ac53f9b7caa98bf8f6602aeda42d7d0bf487db994c8aa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 52c | 8,833$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.53 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1e…8972backed Under | 48c | 6,653$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.97 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 2,836$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.11 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 49c | 2,078$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.29 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,007$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…b75cbacked Under | 47c | 689$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.17 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 47c | 570.72$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.48 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 534$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.13 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 47c | 270.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.24 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 205.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 53c | 190.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Under | 50c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 54c | 93.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 83.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed Under | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 48.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Under | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 27.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Richmond Spiders vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 142.5this page
- Richmond Spiders vs. Davidson WildcatsDavidson Wildcats won
- Richmond Spiders vs. Davidson Wildcats: O/U 141.5Under won
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-4.5)Richmond Spiders won
- Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-5.5)Richmond Spiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.