TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Richmond Spiders vs. Davidson Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Davidson Wildcatsof Richmond Spiders, Davidson Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a55…394ebacked Richmond Spiders40c10,000$3,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,982.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Davidson Wildcats61c5,724$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,258.251,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Richmond Spiders10c3,647$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.925,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Davidson Wildcats68c3,272$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.891,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Richmond Spiders32c2,678$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.191,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Davidson Wildcats67c2,047$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.651,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Davidson Wildcats64c1,567$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.0334943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Davidson Wildcats64c1,374$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.981,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Richmond Spiders39c1,319$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115925.4%15 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Davidson Wildcats62c1,100$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.651,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Richmond Spiders32c866.49$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.361,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Richmond Spiders22c816.96$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.562,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Richmond Spiders30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Richmond Spiders33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19837142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Richmond Spiders20c523.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.31,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Davidson Wildcats62c415.8$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.82,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…7c3abacked Davidson Wildcats59c338.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.521844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Davidson Wildcats68c312.46$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.383,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Richmond Spiders32c285.34$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3182048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Richmond Spiders12c275$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Davidson Wildcats76c271.87$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5993247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Richmond Spiders12c241$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7825337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Davidson Wildcats66c230.12$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.436845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Davidson Wildcats69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Davidson Wildcats67c214.83$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8981453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Richmond Spiders31c182.66$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.952,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Davidson Wildcats80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Richmond Spiders16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Davidson Wildcats69c134.91$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0837947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Richmond Spiders30c115.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.771,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Davidson Wildcats69c97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.471,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Richmond Spiders33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Richmond Spiders33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.79035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Richmond Spiders33c81.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2724649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Davidson Wildcats68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Richmond Spiders19c59.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.470936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Richmond Spiders17c58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.072,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Richmond Spiders30c58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.433445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Richmond Spiders31c57.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.871,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Richmond Spiders39c51.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Davidson Wildcats69c49.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2823363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Davidson Wildcats51c48.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Richmond Spiders32c43.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Davidson Wildcats68c38.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Richmond Spiders32c37.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1224737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Richmond Spiders32c34.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0192246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Davidson Wildcats68c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8823948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Richmond Spiders39c29.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d51…7045backed Richmond Spiders40c26.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Davidson Wildcats68c22.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1514171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45be…9b55backed Davidson Wildcats77c20.28$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.632792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.9wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+41%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Davidson Wildcats75c19.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.