Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3817483eaa41f3b9c77e2fb16e5c72d92e0d7a37aecef1ab1ae1625c6dfb8a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 35,379$10,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,613.63 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 31,051$19,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,381.54 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.99 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 57c | 9,079$5,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,191.18 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 35c | 6,471$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.05 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked Under | 34c | 6,239$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 64c | 3,999$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.51 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…ca3abacked Over | 66c | 3,934$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 77c | 3,074$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Over | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 33c | 2,453$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.82 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 35c | 2,420$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.99 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…582dbacked Over | 44c | 2,392$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Over | 66c | 2,305$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 2,213$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.06 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 59c | 2,200$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 43c | 2,183$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.87 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.68 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 1,108$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.76 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Over | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 67c | 970.27$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 35c | 801.51$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.01 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 64c | 799.78$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.86 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 65c | 784.62$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 771.85$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.93 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 34c | 639.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.39 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 41c | 608.71$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.1 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Over | 65c | 590$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.14 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Over | 70c | 568.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Under | 34c | 567.35$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.45 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 41c | 545.75$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.62 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Over | 65c | 516.92$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 58c | 480.57$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.42 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Under | 36c | 479.03$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 35c | 461$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.65 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 69c | 435$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Over | 65c | 406.14$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -12.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Over | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 40c | 374.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 37c | 323.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over | 12c | 314.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 67c | 314$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 40c | 300$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 42c | 291.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 54c | 284.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 67c | 261.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 260.46$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…1f58backed Over | 44c | 255.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 66c | 250$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 34c | 240$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 64c | 228.44$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 63c | 226.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 64c | 220.22$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…618ebacked Over | 54c | 216.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 35c | 215.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Over | 25c | 214.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…063dbacked Over | 65c | 190.65$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over | 56c | 179.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…bc0fbacked Over | 66c | 176.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Over | 63c | 168.25$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 161.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…d812backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 36c | 150.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 65c | 139.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Over | 67c | 124.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 27c | 121.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 53c | 119.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 33c | 117.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce3…40f3backed Over | 64c | 117.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 114.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 58c | 105.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Under | 53c | 103.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed Under | 40c | 102.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…49aabacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f33…5da5backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.