TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c35,379$10,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,613.6323926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c31,051$19,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,381.546,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.9938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over57c9,079$5,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,191.184052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under35c6,471$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.0585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a08…f99ebacked Under34c6,239$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,117.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+142.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over64c3,999$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.5118362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bde…ca3abacked Over66c3,934$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under77c3,074$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Over66c2,500$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6504641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under33c2,453$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.822,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under35c2,420$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.9915952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb740…582dbacked Over44c2,392$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdc…2454backed Over66c2,305$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under60c2,213$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.062,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over59c2,200$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2984938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over43c2,183$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.8720545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4954318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Under36c1,250$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6814128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c1,108$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.764,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over67c970.27$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6507847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under35c801.51$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.0152454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over64c799.78$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.868851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over65c784.62$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c771.85$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.932,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under34c639.99$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3936956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over41c608.71$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.14341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Over65c590$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.142161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over70c568.54$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Under34c567.35$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.454854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Under54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.56850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under41c545.75$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.621,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd67…bb43backed Over65c516.92$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3259254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over58c480.57$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.424738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Under36c479.03$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.032133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under35c461$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.6572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under69c435$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13516753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked Over65c406.14$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007129.6%21 W · 50 L-12.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Over66c378.79$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over40c374.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Over37c323.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over12c314.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-31.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over67c314$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.332454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over40c300$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12114845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over56c300$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1672552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over42c291.82$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under54c284.8$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6521049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under67c261.55$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.558655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c260.46$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.941,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Over44c255.11$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.251450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over66c250$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.441,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under34c240$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.460557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over64c228.44$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0816357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over63c226.92$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over64c220.22$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.971,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cb7…618ebacked Over54c216.84$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under35c215.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7215347.1%72 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Over25c214.48$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.627343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13237557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa567…063dbacked Over65c190.65$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over56c179.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0529…bc0fbacked Over66c176.18$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.281346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Over63c168.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.993946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c161.28$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.91,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over34c160$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.430645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.410874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a51…d812backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009067.8%61 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over65c153.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.999551.6%49 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Over36c150.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over65c139.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Over67c124.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over27c121.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8125550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Over66c121.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over53c119.75$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.364839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under33c117.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7713054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce3…40f3backed Over64c117.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under34c114.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.331,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over58c105.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Under53c103.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.193943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed Under40c102.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3622832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f33…5da5backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.