TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0529…bc0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.64
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.1
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$75.06
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$145.03
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45.75
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+41%+$61.5
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+34.5%+$61.18
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$231.2
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$116.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$23.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$26.96
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.9
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.96
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$46.36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$16.85
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.3%+$107.47
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+71.1%+$32.58
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150%+$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+63.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+227.2%+$147.66
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$37.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.