TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8566…c626backed Under52c23,026$11,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,904.32281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.26per pick55cpaid+55%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c19,077$9,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,027.076,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under15c7,986$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.062,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c3,771$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.534,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under14c3,208$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.962,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under15c3,179$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.51,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8106435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c2,326$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.072,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under14c2,265$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0919239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over44c1,700$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.959055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over27c1,595$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.641323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over55c1,536$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.3430645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70526548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Under49c1,314$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.68850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over54c1,196$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Over69c1,021$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over78c990$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.85056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over58c889.04$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.822433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over56c888.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8917161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over51c858.59$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.054355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Under48c801.72$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.952240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Over28c767.95$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.953125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over69c758.03$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c756.52$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.961,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over50c755.25$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.632250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over67c747.39$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.644738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under55c727.51$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over51c692.18$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.0915740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over51c515.61$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.817129.6%21 W · 50 L-12.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2652245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+41.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Over46c438.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.962343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over46c429.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.198851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over75c406.67$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6720864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under65c400.77$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.27742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Over63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Over60c361$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.533959%23 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.836446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Under29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+196.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Under30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Over53c320.75$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.757343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Over75c317$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.361450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under27c314.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under31c314.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.019627.1%26 W · 70 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Over46c305$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over60c301$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9916548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3e2…1026backed Over53c293.11$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under30c273.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8274256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over51c270$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.414845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over67c249.78$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5718444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under67c241.93$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4221049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x602e…e237backed Over60c230.5$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94b…94a7backed Over62c225.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.971457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over43c223.29$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.268648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under17c203.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.499246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under31c203.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.862437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Over70c201.43$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.434261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over74c181.49$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.496547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under15c180$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Under49c179.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70dd…a4e3backed Over29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over75c170.85$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5696645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over63c159.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.926437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.156041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over51c145.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4425750.2%129 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Over69c144.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3810459.6%62 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked Over70c142.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8955955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c134$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over61c130.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6620644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf44c…dbc7backed Under16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over29c120.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.691145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over50c116.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.654839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Under55c110$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over69c109$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3214463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over75c106.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.674557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over78c105$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.86168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3559645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f33…5da5backed Under21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over49c99.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.794158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Over52c97.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.899643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Over59c96.02$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.433943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over67c90.28$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.792161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under45c88.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1789152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over53c86.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7913439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over59c85.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3621143.1%91 W · 120 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over54c83.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3510361.2%63 W · 40 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205149%25 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc69a…e9f7backed Over49c77.82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.444351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab50…6e96backed Over53c75.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.71977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.