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Tennis · resolved market

Estoril Open: Hugo Gaston vs Damir Dzumhur

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hugo Gastonof Hugo Gaston, Damir Dzumhur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,456
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,456 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Damir Dzumhur24c18,000$4,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,339.9952844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Damir Dzumhur22c16,390$3,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.829,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Damir Dzumhur49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00037244.4%165 W · 207 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Hugo Gaston51c7,863$4,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,852.8763651.7%329 W · 307 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hugo Gaston49c7,430$3,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.362,49251.3%1,279 W · 1,213 L+15.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Damir Dzumhur49c6,327$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10010453.8%56 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Hugo Gaston58c6,194$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.6737644.7%168 W · 208 L-1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Hugo Gaston53c5,511$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.471,28656.8%731 W · 555 L-16.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Hugo Gaston51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9873953.2%393 W · 346 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Hugo Gaston75c3,952$2,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.114,37652.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L+67.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Hugo Gaston52c3,705$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.5732740.7%133 W · 194 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Damir Dzumhur49c2,726$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.521944.3%97 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Hugo Gaston52c2,619$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.3262645.4%284 W · 342 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Damir Dzumhur50c2,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.221,71148.5%829 W · 882 L+41.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Hugo Gaston48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30094555.7%526 W · 419 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c17…5e9bbacked Hugo Gaston52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacac…2d37backed Hugo Gaston52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9609040%36 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fc…7ac9backed Damir Dzumhur29c2,000$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5754151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Damir Dzumhur51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.991,77149.2%872 W · 899 L+58.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Hugo Gaston51c1,750$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.533442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Damir Dzumhur50c1,700$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85010552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Hugo Gaston52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4727953.4%149 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Hugo Gaston52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.4728653.8%154 W · 132 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Damir Dzumhur41c1,408$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.475,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Damir Dzumhur41c1,321$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.848,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Damir Dzumhur17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Damir Dzumhur48c1,113$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.783,35948.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L-49.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Hugo Gaston51c1,034$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.344,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Damir Dzumhur49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50063557.3%364 W · 271 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Damir Dzumhur47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Damir Dzumhur2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20620%0 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b5…a041backed Hugo Gaston51c999.96$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.986435.9%23 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Damir Dzumhur34c957.37$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Damir Dzumhur48c941.87$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.695237.7%359 W · 593 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf029…a292backed Hugo Gaston61c819.84$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.842744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Hugo Gaston73c778.94$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3160753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Damir Dzumhur51c681.38$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.550542.4%214 W · 291 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Damir Dzumhur27c651.13$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7438522.3%86 W · 299 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hugo Gaston65c507.45$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.848,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Hugo Gaston51c502.94$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.443,73145.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L-3.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Damir Dzumhur29c491.87$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2488858%515 W · 373 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Hugo Gaston51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.154047%254 W · 286 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hugo Gaston47c468.15$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.892,54838.5%982 W · 1,566 L+96.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Hugo Gaston52c448.08$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0846855.8%261 W · 207 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Hugo Gaston78c434$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.174,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Hugo Gaston51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19612439.5%49 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe081…0bf5backed Damir Dzumhur29c320$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.88123.5%19 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Hugo Gaston51c311$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.391,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Damir Dzumhur13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3950240.6%204 W · 298 L-2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Damir Dzumhur48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14424837.1%92 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Hugo Gaston50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503,19557.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L+178.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Damir Dzumhur53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,20652.4%632 W · 574 L+27.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Hugo Gaston51c275.03$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.773,74942.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L-44.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x280f…ad6abacked Damir Dzumhur45c263.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012851.6%66 W · 62 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Damir Dzumhur49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12528147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Damir Dzumhur20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Hugo Gaston51c240$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.61,58842.3%672 W · 916 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b9…04a3backed Damir Dzumhur49c219.47$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.541947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Damir Dzumhur31c215$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.815,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Damir Dzumhur51c212$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4711145.9%51 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe426…f4ffbacked Damir Dzumhur52c205.62$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.928243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f06…8ebebacked Damir Dzumhur49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020553.7%110 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Damir Dzumhur49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3773…f0ddbacked Damir Dzumhur49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.967554.7%41 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Damir Dzumhur19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3858639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Damir Dzumhur50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037738.7%146 W · 231 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Damir Dzumhur46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Hugo Gaston52c197$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5616040%64 W · 96 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89fb…141bbacked Damir Dzumhur35c171.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605949.2%29 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Damir Dzumhur20c169.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.176,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Damir Dzumhur51c165.38$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3412048.3%58 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7233…6520backed Hugo Gaston52c161.06$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3110951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f1…e83ebacked Damir Dzumhur51c157.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4926253.8%141 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Damir Dzumhur51c149.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.831,80047.2%849 W · 951 L-45.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Damir Dzumhur19c141.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.411,25752%654 W · 603 L+45.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Damir Dzumhur34c141.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.311,83746.5%855 W · 982 L+20.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Damir Dzumhur48c134$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3274838.8%290 W · 458 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2914…aff6backed Hugo Gaston73c126.22$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.089556.8%54 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Damir Dzumhur18c120$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111218.8%21 W · 91 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58a8…a3c7backed Hugo Gaston51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.86633.3%22 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6d2…d00fbacked Hugo Gaston48c112$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2411741.9%49 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Damir Dzumhur54c109.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.391,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6e…1256backed Damir Dzumhur52c107.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6926744.2%118 W · 149 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Damir Dzumhur49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010965.1%71 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Damir Dzumhur50c100.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Damir Dzumhur20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Damir Dzumhur52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc774…f218backed Damir Dzumhur49c98.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.135753.8%192 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Hugo Gaston52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1534346.6%160 W · 183 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x065c…47debacked Hugo Gaston47c93.08$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3313850.7%70 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Damir Dzumhur16c88.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7911,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Hugo Gaston52c85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0539851%203 W · 195 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Hugo Gaston53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.911,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Hugo Gaston51c84.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.312,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Damir Dzumhur50c84.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1231347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…058fbacked Hugo Gaston49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.631275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Hugo Gaston80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65c7…bd9bbacked Damir Dzumhur55c79.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Hugo Gaston49c73.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.412,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Damir Dzumhur49c69.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3428738.3%110 W · 177 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.