TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,473 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1fc9…c4b9backed Yes23c10,121$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,793.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes23c10,001$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,709.232,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No77c10,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,699.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Yes23c8,117$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,250.3219037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed No77c6,401$4,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,920.617259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No77c5,141$3,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.781,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Yes24c5,007$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.193432.4%11 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No77c4,304$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,306.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes24c4,167$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.678648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed No76c3,446$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.12955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No50c2,948$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.194,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c2,379$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes23c2,174$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.9115441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No76c1,946$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.0246464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed No78c1,825$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.736261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No77c1,689$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.2431171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90af…faa9backed No77c1,547$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No76c1,500$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9716564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47ae…ee94backed No76c1,500$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.961931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes24c1,476$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.455121.6%11 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c1,429$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.593,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No63c1,394$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.311,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c1,306$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.063,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No78c1,182$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.929555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b20…38ffbacked Yes23c1,100$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8471233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+223%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No78c1,052$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.765969.5%41 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yes23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No77c999.99$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.9923240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No77c950$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.513261.4%81 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No78c778.02$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.1111348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…03ccbacked No77c750$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.56237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No76c747.6$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.7697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e2…1371backed No77c683.82$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.943476.5%26 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No2c619.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.391,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329f…81b4backed Yes23c601.19$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.198043.8%35 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No77c585$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.456671.2%47 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5299…bb37backed Yes19c532.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.863221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No3c531.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0472247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No76c504.75$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.613161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No75c497.72$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.572,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed No77c484$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.683447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Yes20c481.35$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.081833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No6c437.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.582,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c83…28d9backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.671127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6717638.1%67 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e88…488ebacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.672142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.671233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6712839.1%50 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Yes23c408.18$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.316050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Yes24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30419062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No77c400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30828873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed No76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046570.8%46 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes16c399.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.9946223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed No79c397.85$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.319125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b42…8086backed No78c394.95$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.064759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1928…1953backed No76c385$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No35c332.1$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.682,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No77c323.99$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.478838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2286341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaba9…df0cbacked Yes23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312650%13 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes24c250$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19027637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3911323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb0…408cbacked No7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15160%0 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No41c213.47$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.752,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc269…7343backed Yes23c210.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.663554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+63.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No28c209$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.81,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0c…4eb3backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3317930.7%55 W · 124 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d16…e22fbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.339852%51 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1529351.6%48 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15223429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed No77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15412542.4%53 W · 72 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Yes21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.488661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed No77c180.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3123558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…ec59backed Yes24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+80%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf029…a292backed Yes24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.679942.4%42 W · 57 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x178d…797bbacked Yes24c145.96$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.932213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick23cpaid+33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59d6…0704backed Yes24c145.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.834042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes24c145.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8333123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8271…1b26backed Yes24c136.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.712832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6da…5ccfbacked Yes24c135.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.661241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa478…5569backed Yes23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.433727%10 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed Yes23c128.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.363122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x940c…b006backed No77c125.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe357…50cfbacked Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No77c120.94$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1212657.1%72 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No79c120.57$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2551429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa22d…3f00backed Yes24c116.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.696136.1%22 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2322…1103backed Yes26c116.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.58425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed No74c114.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0415843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6a…c8a8backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.71947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No79c100.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.762,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a9…c44abacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.919045.6%41 W · 49 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea61…2283backed Yes20c90$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked No77c87.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.189047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…5303backed Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.961421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa84…e79bbacked Yes24c83.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.542445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae4d…fc45backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.332317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc451…1ff6backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.334341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f8…d6ffbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 93. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.