Tennis · resolved market
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Gonzalo Bueno
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8dac2a91bde94f72fb8592279f74d9fb5f70790e7802d873dd43ff1c190feb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaime Fariaof Jaime Faria, Gonzalo Bueno
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Gonzalo Bueno | 13c | 39,886$5,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325.4 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Gonzalo Bueno | 8c | 36,428$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.26 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d5…bef9backed Gonzalo Bueno | 9c | 10,497$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 0c | 7,777$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Gonzalo Bueno | 7c | 7,300$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gonzalo Bueno | 5c | 6,467$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Gonzalo Bueno | 17c | 5,423$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.21 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 16c | 4,056$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.78 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Gonzalo Bueno | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Gonzalo Bueno | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Gonzalo Bueno | 4c | 2,997$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Gonzalo Bueno | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gonzalo Bueno | 11c | 2,436$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Gonzalo Bueno | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 1c | 1,637$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gonzalo Bueno | 13c | 1,136$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Gonzalo Bueno | 11c | 1,083$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 10c | 952.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…904dbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 3c | 866.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Gonzalo Bueno | 12c | 839.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Gonzalo Bueno | 16c | 802.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Gonzalo Bueno | 21c | 716.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 7c | 675$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Gonzalo Bueno | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 9c | 586.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…082bbacked Jaime Faria | 78c | 475.45$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Gonzalo Bueno | 11c | 470$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 17c | 459.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Gonzalo Bueno | 11c | 440.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Gonzalo Bueno | 21c | 388.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Gonzalo Bueno | 17c | 387.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Gonzalo Bueno | 17c | 383.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Gonzalo Bueno | 20c | 340$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Gonzalo Bueno | 7c | 333.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Gonzalo Bueno | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Jaime Faria | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 24c | 311.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Gonzalo Bueno | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gonzalo Bueno | 17c | 291.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Gonzalo Bueno | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Gonzalo Bueno | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Jaime Faria | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…b34fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 23c | 245.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Gonzalo Bueno | 18c | 222.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…9fd7backed Gonzalo Bueno | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Gonzalo Bueno | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x925b…640ebacked Gonzalo Bueno | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Gonzalo Bueno | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Gonzalo Bueno | 11c | 153.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Gonzalo Bueno | 17c | 141.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…98dbbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 18c | 139.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 16c | 138$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885b…a30dbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 14c | 135.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Gonzalo Bueno | 9c | 133.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…a2fdbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Gonzalo Bueno | 18c | 121$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Gonzalo Bueno | 8c | 118.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…1b3dbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 15c | 113.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7519…4d28backed Gonzalo Bueno | 18c | 101.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed Gonzalo Bueno | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Gonzalo Bueno | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Jaime Faria | 78c | 87.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Jaime Faria | 78c | 87.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Gonzalo Bueno | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jaime Faria | 80c | 13.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Gonzalo Buenothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Faria vs BuenoFaria won
- Set Handicap: Faria (-1.5) vs Bueno (+1.5)Faria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.