Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3df897c78195f2e562c1aa3c2408e9ead9fb2eeb38352728769b6c40e8f2f64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 43c | 35,636$15,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,423.96 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 51c | 15,050$7,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,372 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 8,781$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.54 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 8,618$6,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.92 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 48c | 6,488$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 50c | 5,672$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 53c | 4,015$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.35 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 68c | 3,376$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.59 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 53c | 3,207$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 46c | 3,015$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.15 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 25c | 2,772$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.09 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 23c | 1,845$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.11 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 49c | 1,091$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 996.07$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.63 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 690.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.46 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 670.66$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.08 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 51c | 599.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 75c | 584.41$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 570.75$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.03 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 50c | 465.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.15 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 27c | 428.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed No | 52c | 411.67$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1593backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…b87cbacked No | 54c | 339.8$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdc…93e3backed Yes | 47c | 338.11$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…37a4backed No | 54c | 334.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…3e7bbacked Yes | 47c | 332.19$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 22c | 320$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 52c | 262.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 48c | 244.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…292fbacked No | 51c | 232$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 49c | 230.18$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 26c | 222$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 201.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…525ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 26c | 165$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 47c | 114.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea99…f13ebacked No | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed No | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed No | 54c | 88.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 50c | 84.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 48c | 80.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c8…bc51backed Yes | 49c | 72.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 70c | 55.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…12cbbacked No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…faccbacked No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522c…c056backed Yes | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…9fa5backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4f…9a7bbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 54c | 39.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 50c | 38.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 75c | 36.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 50c | 32.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 52c | 32.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…2055backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…03e7backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…04cebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 51c | 29.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked No | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…7e25backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f52…2f2abacked Yes | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 48c | 25.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked No | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…7b07backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64af…9cdcbacked Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11af…ad82backed No | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…ceafbacked No | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.