TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1cf6…03e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+809.1%+$472.02
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.52
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+32%+$4.44
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.2%+$13.27
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Team Liquid vs Dignitas (BO1) - LCS Lock In Last Chance Qualifierbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.5%+$14.49
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.2%+$3.89
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Transylvania Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Anna Bondarbacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.