Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x651bbfac1a8ed175e99080b3a34f043253c0520ff63f4293ab5829a9fbe444c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,916$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.55 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,367$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.72 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 15c | 1,274$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.37 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 19c | 1,249$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.01 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 886.97$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.8 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 516.43$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 445.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 15c | 427.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 10c | 296.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 26c | 273.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cad…671abacked Yes | 33c | 227.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 22c | 204.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 182.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…42b5backed Yes | 29c | 156.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed Yes | 27c | 135.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 32c | 130$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 126.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Yes | 27c | 114.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 25c | 99.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 99.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5490…1806backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 63.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 59.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 75c | 55.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 54.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…c6cdbacked No | 75c | 38.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 30.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-02?Yes won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.