La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a00fdf81dc5aecc8dd6e0423ab51dcba974e4bee2c1eca0dda1cbf6abe4fcad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 76c | 3,157$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.68 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 2,712$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.82 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 2,430$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.84 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…2d79backed Yes | 23c | 1,309$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,305$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.58 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 1,099$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.68 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…95a8backed Yes | 24c | 830$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 76c | 573.04$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 551.81$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 20c | 454.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 72c | 390$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 22c | 385.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 346$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 298.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 76c | 283.08$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 24c | 274$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 24c | 266.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 76c | 251.08$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Yes | 20c | 250.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…720dbacked Yes | 14c | 242.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 25c | 220.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 217.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 73c | 191$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 173.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 75c | 167.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…ab47backed Yes | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 78c | 139.21$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 24c | 124.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4777backed Yes | 27c | 123.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 120.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 75c | 110.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…8906backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 20c | 94.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 76c | 91.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…8f9fbacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 25c | 80.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…3a65backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 77c | 65.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Yes | 24c | 42.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 75c | 26.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked No | 77c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 75c | 24.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 76c | 22.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 76c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed No | 75c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.