La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53b0f9e803120e454697fb7e2d1b559c2d7420eb9409db3dc790bd395a53769d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 16c | 9,963$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.39 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 17c | 2,482$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.92 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 1c | 2,257$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 7c | 2,233$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 17c | 1,604$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.68 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 1,429$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 4c | 1,064$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 23c | 961.09$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.05 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 943.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 14c | 878.37$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 20c | 790$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 18c | 555.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Yes | 18c | 518.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 3c | 503.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…cd09backed Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…8e06backed Yes | 11c | 483$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1149…3628backed Yes | 5c | 464.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 447.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 7c | 358.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 3c | 342.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 318.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 15c | 227.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc841…a2ccbacked Yes | 9c | 217.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 18c | 210$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 15c | 204.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 17c | 193.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 22c | 127.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 18c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 18c | 70.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 70.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac72…fa43backed Yes | 21c | 65.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 17c | 61.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…e75fbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.