La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed4451f3e8e0f2399a7742faeeb9033751f291bea35eb0dfa2cf6b8628d1ae99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 72c | 9,233$6,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,672.61 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 6,665$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.94 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 6,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,187$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.93 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 5c | 2,587$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.65 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 4c | 1,848$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 6c | 1,785$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed No | 8c | 1,774$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 28c | 1,646$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.12 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 1,301$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 26c | 1,266$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.07 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.48 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +262.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 11c | 776.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 74c | 761.67$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 702.16$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.2 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 73c | 690$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…4b95backed Yes | 28c | 660.84$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes | 39c | 627.88$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +102%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 324$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.45 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 72c | 306.81$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 27c | 298$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.02 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 31c | 286$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.09 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 29c | 282.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes | 29c | 244.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked No | 71c | 223.18$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 25c | 218.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.81 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 212.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 19c | 209.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.73 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 63c | 204$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…c48ebacked Yes | 27c | 185.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 28c | 170.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Yes | 14c | 160.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 159.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 28c | 138$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 127.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…f4ffbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 108.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 24c | 85.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 30c | 81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 78.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 77.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b26…cfc5backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…3253backed Yes | 29c | 67.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Yes | 27c | 65.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13c…8410backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d4…2ba1backed Yes | 39c | 64.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 27c | 51.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 26c | 46.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc054…7877backed Yes | 61c | 44.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe755…644ebacked No | 72c | 25.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc14…b8efbacked No | 72c | 23.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…a80dbacked No | 72c | 18.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…4f81backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.