Tennis · resolved market
ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c641c055f3cf3e510a4c33a078b1eeee4a705e3e71cc843dd863e82ddae6608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tomljanovicof Williams, Tomljanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70a2…6abebacked Williams | 0c | 76,754$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tomljanovic | 60c | 12,526$7,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,990.37 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Williams | 41c | 12,321$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Williams | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Williams | 28c | 7,615$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.71 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Tomljanovic | 72c | 6,256$4,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.19 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Tomljanovic | 78c | 6,102$4,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.07 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Williams | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Tomljanovic | 74c | 4,030$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.66 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Williams | 24c | 2,857$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.78 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tomljanovic | 74c | 2,505$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.49 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Williams | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Williams | 28c | 2,017$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.56 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tomljanovic | 77c | 1,989$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.47 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Tomljanovic | 72c | 1,882$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.94 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Williams | 35c | 1,819$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.47 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Williams | 23c | 1,784$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.4 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tomljanovic | 63c | 1,578$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.13 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Williams | 28c | 1,556$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.24 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tomljanovic | 58c | 1,500$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…e568backed Williams | 43c | 1,394$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Williams | 3c | 1,285$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Williams | 33c | 1,231$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.56 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Tomljanovic | 72c | 1,215$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Williams | 21c | 1,212$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Williams | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tomljanovic | 77c | 1,070$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.53 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Tomljanovic | 68c | 900$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.04 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tomljanovic | 60c | 818.26$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.79 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Williams | 20c | 774.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.31 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Tomljanovic | 62c | 765.44$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.87 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Williams | 28c | 686.08$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.82 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Williams | 25c | 501$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Williams | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Tomljanovic | 77c | 488.01$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Williams | 25c | 472.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Williams | 23c | 464$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Tomljanovic | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…37f6backed Tomljanovic | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tomljanovic | 72c | 343.52$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tomljanovic | 78c | 322.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tomljanovic | 59c | 305.51$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Tomljanovic | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Williams | 27c | 296.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8d…c822backed Tomljanovic | 72c | 296$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Williams | 29c | 289.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Williams | 28c | 272.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Tomljanovic | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Williams | 13c | 266.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Tomljanovic | 72c | 251.47$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…965cbacked Tomljanovic | 64c | 250.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Tomljanovic | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf174…d052backed Williams | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Williams | 26c | 236.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Williams | 27c | 228.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 181 | 33.1%60 W · 121 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Williams | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Tomljanovic | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Williams | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…fb76backed Williams | 39c | 180.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…1dd4backed Williams | 31c | 160.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Williams | 33c | 159$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Tomljanovic | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Tomljanovic | 62c | 130.16$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tomljanovic | 59c | 128.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Williams | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Williams | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Tomljanovic | 70c | 99.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Tomljanovic | 73c | 92.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…b344backed Tomljanovic | 72c | 91.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tomljanovic | 72c | 89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Williams | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Williams | 26c | 85.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…8ba4backed Tomljanovic | 76c | 83.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Williams | 24c | 81.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Tomljanovic | 76c | 81.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Tomljanovic | 68c | 78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…b4b3backed Williams | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Williams | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Williams | 24c | 67.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tomljanovic | 73c | 61.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Tomljanovic | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Tomljanovic | 74c | 50.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Tomljanovic | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Williams | 25c | 47.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Tomljanovic | 71c | 46.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…0f2bbacked Williams | 41c | 43.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Tomljanovic | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Tomljanovic | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Tomljanovic | 73c | 32.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Williams | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Tomljanovic | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Tomljanovic | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Tomljanovic | 59c | 25.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Tomljanovic | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Tomljanovic | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Tomljanovic | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3a…243bbacked Tomljanovic | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tomljanovic | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Williams vs TomljanovicTomljanovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.