Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22944c6278d1f5d790d79de82a28aeb2cd675b9e7b5701ea362b30ee8bbbe82d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Michelsenof Alex Michelsen, Adrian Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 21,272$5,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,956.14 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Adrian Mannarino | 15c | 19,684$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.64 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 19,118$14,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,779.45 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Adrian Mannarino | 38c | 16,500$6,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,314.99 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Adrian Mannarino | 14c | 12,341$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.31 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 8,326$6,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.77 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 7,598$5,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.7 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7574…fcc7backed Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 6,384$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…6e0abacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 6,037$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Michelsen | 76c | 5,676$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.35 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 4,910$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.8 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 4,237$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.89 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 3,956$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.1 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…8145backed Adrian Mannarino | 46c | 3,942$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 3,925$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.45 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 3,532$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.19 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 3,399$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Alex Michelsen | 70c | 2,862$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.4 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 2,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 2,500$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.02 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Alex Michelsen | 74c | 2,416$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.14 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…535cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 1,742$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.23 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 1,700$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.1 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 1,700$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.1 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 1,538$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.6 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alex Michelsen | 68c | 1,503$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.02 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 1,501$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.73 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 1,446$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.36 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 1,430$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 1,384$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.92 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 1,334$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.24 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d5…bef9backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 1,227$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 1,150$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 1,149$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 1,127$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.84 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 1,067$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…029abacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 1,050$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Adrian Mannarino | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Alex Michelsen | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Michelsen | 78c | 934.17$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.27 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Adrian Mannarino | 18c | 932.83$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.92 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 870$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…4aa9backed Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 812.61$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alex Michelsen | 77c | 805.65$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Alex Michelsen | 75c | 776.75$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 750.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Adrian Mannarino | 7c | 695.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Alex Michelsen | 76c | 665.99$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 663$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.27 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Alex Michelsen | 79c | 634.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 621.75$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Alex Michelsen | 80c | 577.17$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Adrian Mannarino | 49c | 574.2$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…e0afbacked Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 561.32$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Alex Michelsen | 62c | 549$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.47 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Alex Michelsen | 61c | 545.01$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.55 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 521.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 502.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 501.74$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Alex Michelsen | 61c | 499$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…fcfcbacked Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 495.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Alex Michelsen | 76c | 479.11$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Alex Michelsen | 72c | 478.18$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 469.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 415.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 15c | 400.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Alex Michelsen | 54c | 370.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.56 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 356.44$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alex Michelsen | 73c | 351.53$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 330.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 323.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Alex Michelsen | 73c | 322.06$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…90cfbacked Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 321.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 319.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alex Michelsen | 71c | 300.91$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 15c | 300.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Alex Michelsen | 69c | 299.58$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Alex Michelsen | 75c | 296$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked Alex Michelsen | 46c | 290.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Alex Michelsen | 71c | 286.06$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 284.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 281.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 277.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 243.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…d00fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 243$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarinothis page
- Alex Michelsen vs. Adrian Mannarino: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Michelsen vs MannarinoMichelsen won
- Set 2 Winner: Michelsen vs MannarinoMichelsen won
- Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)Michelsen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.