Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: Marko Topo vs Marc-Andrea Huesler
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eabb60c000dc9b0ff81fc4aaa03e82911560a48058fd79f17fc00f5a94b85f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hueslerof Topo, Huesler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Huesler | 34c | 7,880$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,178.21 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Topo | 62c | 4,922$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058.57 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Topo | 64c | 2,191$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.39 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Huesler | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Topo | 66c | 797.38$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.27 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Huesler | 72c | 596.42$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.02 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Topo | 74c | 431.18$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.01 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Huesler | 55c | 404.98$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.24 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Huesler | 42c | 370.92$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Topo | 49c | 326.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Topo | 45c | 271.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Huesler | 55c | 241.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Huesler | 40c | 233.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Topo | 8c | 232.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Huesler | 52c | 213.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Huesler | 38c | 206.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Topo | 73c | 204.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Topo | 69c | 185.02$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Topo | 46c | 179.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Huesler | 54c | 149$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Topo | 55c | 145.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Topo | 46c | 144$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Huesler | 36c | 131.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Topo | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Topo | 37c | 104$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Huesler | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Topo | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Topo | 45c | 93.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Huesler | 35c | 91.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Huesler | 34c | 84.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…8ba4backed Topo | 78c | 81.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Topo | 46c | 80.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Huesler | 28c | 79.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Topo | 67c | 69.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Huesler | 53c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Huesler | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Topo | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Huesler | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Topo | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Topo | 76c | 30.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Huesler | 54c | 25.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Topo | 72c | 24.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Huesler | 55c | 24.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Topo | 64c | 23.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…0f2bbacked Topo | 69c | 20.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.