Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x671c29e2118198a9d80f9f6d55bc7f1709d6ca888a354635add48e1b01ab9794
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galatasaray SKof Juventus FC, Galatasaray SK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Galatasaray SK | 80c | 6,855$5,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Juventus FC | 21c | 2,973$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.85 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…af43backed Galatasaray SK | 80c | 2,100$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Galatasaray SK | 79c | 1,900$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Juventus FC | 19c | 1,581$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.14 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Juventus FC | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Galatasaray SK | 79c | 1,343$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.79 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Juventus FC | 22c | 1,249$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.01 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Juventus FC | 20c | 1,056$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.78 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Galatasaray SK | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Galatasaray SK | 80c | 900$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juventus FC | 29c | 827.38$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.74 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Galatasaray SK | 74c | 734.95$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Galatasaray SK | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0200…21f2backed Juventus FC | 21c | 598.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Juventus FC | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Juventus FC | 21c | 508$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…cf5abacked Juventus FC | 33c | 506.79$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Juventus FC | 22c | 472$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Juventus FC | 21c | 470.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…fc2abacked Juventus FC | 20c | 345$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Galatasaray SK | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Galatasaray SK | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Juventus FC | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Juventus FC | 32c | 228.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…f862backed Galatasaray SK | 71c | 194.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Juventus FC | 22c | 194.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Galatasaray SK | 78c | 189.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Galatasaray SK | 70c | 171.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Juventus FC | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Juventus FC | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Galatasaray SK | 79c | 149.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Juventus FC | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…8af4backed Galatasaray SK | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…0b79backed Galatasaray SK | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Juventus FC | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Juventus FC | 18c | 93.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Juventus FC | 19c | 92.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Galatasaray SK | 69c | 87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Juventus FC | 21c | 81.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Galatasaray SK | 80c | 77.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Juventus FC | 25c | 73.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…3848backed Galatasaray SK | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Galatasaray SK | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Galatasaray SK | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Galatasaray SK | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Juventus FC | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Galatasaray SK | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Juventus FC | 21c | 50.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Juventus FC | 21c | 50.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Galatasaray SK | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…f3c6backed Juventus FC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe50…b05cbacked Galatasaray SK | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Juventus FC | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0f…05e4backed Galatasaray SK | 78c | 46.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…0e7fbacked Juventus FC | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Galatasaray SK | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Juventus FC | 28c | 40.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6527…370bbacked Galatasaray SK | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…bb92backed Galatasaray SK | 79c | 37.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Galatasaray SK | 78c | 36.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…18edbacked Galatasaray SK | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Juventus FC | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Galatasaray SK | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…8a9dbacked Galatasaray SK | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Galatasaray SK | 70c | 24.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Galatasaray SK | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Galatasaray SK | 79c | 16.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Galatasaray SK | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…44adbacked Galatasaray SK | 78c | 13.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…1a6bbacked Galatasaray SK | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…217cbacked Galatasaray SK | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Galatasaray SK | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…54fcbacked Galatasaray SK | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.