Asian League · resolved market
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226c95dc94058c4434daae05efa236032a88a2561609afdd585cc944b8cdced5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,608 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 5,610$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 5,207$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.4 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 64c | 4,982$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.46 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 55c | 1,791$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.13 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 78c | 849.39$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.98 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 68c | 761.67$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 709.04$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.69 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 65c | 505.93$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 487.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 23c | 474.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 23c | 457.84$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 23c | 429.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 47c | 428.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.82 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Yes | 77c | 418$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 77c | 395.64$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 32c | 355.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 23c | 328$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…5f1cbacked Yes | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 28c | 272.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 24c | 210.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 26c | 198.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 48c | 165.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 25c | 162.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…faeebacked Yes | 79c | 151.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…410ebacked Yes | 75c | 142.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…c3bbbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 21c | 124.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 56c | 118.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 58c | 114.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874a…4e6cbacked Yes | 79c | 111$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556a…273cbacked Yes | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Yes | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 95.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 76c | 94.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 58c | 85.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 35c | 74.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yes | 57c | 73.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 23c | 68.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 80c | 66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…460bbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 66c | 63.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed No | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…3418backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 78c | 55.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 41c | 55.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…8932backed Yes | 75c | 39.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 54c | 38.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Yes | 64c | 38.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 77c | 32.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…6f29backed Yes | 47c | 31.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 38c | 31.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 46c | 29.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 53c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Yes | 50c | 26.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 62c | 22.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Yes | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 79c | 20.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c9…3db2backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Yes | 64c | 19.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 79c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 77c | 18.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…e5e8backed Yes | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…8f4ebacked Yes | 77c | 13.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.