TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Yankees, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Yankees44c27,737$12,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,559.033167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e80…59e8backed Dodgers45c24,248$10,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,981.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0313…a82fbacked Dodgers50c20,680$10,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,34010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bc…9dbcbacked Yankees50c20,680$10,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,3401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…211cbacked Dodgers50c16,920$8,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,46010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2b…2e3fbacked Yankees50c16,920$8,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees54c9,921$5,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,563.6273352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ab…b1d6backed Dodgers50c9,400$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e6…366abacked Yankees50c9,400$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Dodgers1c8,575$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.816725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Dodgers2c7,595$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Dodgers41c5,093$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.663271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.6wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+36.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd4bc…5bcfbacked Yankees62c4,729$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb3…e20ebacked Dodgers43c3,824$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe721…82f5backed Yankees57c3,667$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yankees69c3,343$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.582171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yankees55c3,030$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.733447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Dodgers64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe758…caefbacked Dodgers46c2,183$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0c…8ffcbacked Dodgers48c2,097$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.791776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+40%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e25…ff35backed Dodgers45c1,996$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd1f…86e1backed Dodgers16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5730…a3f3backed Dodgers45c1,824$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed6…e8aabacked Yankees57c1,742$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce8…4a44backed Dodgers46c1,735$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4bd…124dbacked Dodgers18c1,615$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Yankees57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.981963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa319…02dabacked Dodgers24c1,498$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Yankees55c1,493$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6723327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d67…05e7backed Yankees56c1,429$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Dodgers46c1,333$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…aeb9backed Dodgers24c1,293$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2e…5633backed Dodgers45c1,160$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd9…ad08backed Dodgers43c1,141$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee26…d01bbacked Dodgers46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8457…a634backed Yankees56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Dodgers15c1,015$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.933743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Yankees55c1,014$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4181backed Dodgers3c1,014$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.69333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Dodgers61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yankees57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Dodgers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yankees57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.996448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Yankees43c949.07$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.831643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Dodgers5c919.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.451020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76f…9b7cbacked Dodgers11c892.94$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Yankees56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.868454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe7…ac7bbacked Dodgers47c882.98$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Dodgers35c749$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d06…7e2bbacked Yankees57c725.14$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.81450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Dodgers9c724.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6551334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80f5…46f2backed Yankees55c719.02$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.56825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b1…28cfbacked Dodgers30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8801…d741backed Dodgers46c656.09$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc96c…1151backed Dodgers64c650$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb7c…df26backed Dodgers47c547.88$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.570%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yankees56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f13…a5f1backed Dodgers47c434.04$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Dodgers47c425.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013354.9%73 W · 60 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x891b…eee1backed Yankees56c419.43$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.551553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Yankees48c417.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4717136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fea…8f7bbacked Dodgers37c410.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc12…1e02backed Dodgers62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8111…489dbacked Dodgers9c379$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers14c356.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb5…ac84backed Dodgers32c342.88$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649c…6e4fbacked Dodgers29c329.62$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…ff66backed Dodgers16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…4f31backed Dodgers45c312.4$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ca…c635backed Dodgers42c309.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dodgers12c305.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.763942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb18…1f0ebacked Dodgers33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…0e53backed Dodgers45c297.02$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa556…a400backed Yankees56c297.02$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35cb…b439backed Dodgers47c293.62$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234c…7cd3backed Yankees56c289.78$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Yankees55c281$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.774100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89a5…4908backed Dodgers62c269.97$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Dodgers70c250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b9…f457backed Dodgers45c250$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9857…be38backed Dodgers21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b5…6b1ebacked Dodgers47c232.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613c…5280backed Yankees48c224$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x761c…4e6ebacked Dodgers52c224$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0f…64c0backed Dodgers46c220.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d04…8859backed Dodgers46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Yankees46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df1…99c5backed Yankees50c213$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4a…d456backed Dodgers50c213$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Dodgers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004748.9%23 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7f…d375backed Dodgers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0627…1ecabacked Yankees60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Dodgers43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Dodgers44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.496848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b5…07b8backed Dodgers43c197.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57dc…461bbacked Yankees58c197.41$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b2…cf81backed Yankees59c186.26$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdd…03fcbacked Dodgers43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7c…1fafbacked Yankees54c185.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.