TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Northwestern vs. Illinois

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Illinoisof Northwestern, Illinois
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Illinois71c39,563$28,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,481.025064%32 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Illinois73c34,153$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,152.6819362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Illinois71c30,000$21,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,70012055%66 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Northwestern29c29,000$8,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4105152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Northwestern26c23,790$6,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,204.1916234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Northwestern29c22,637$6,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,551.4765945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Northwestern20c15,829$3,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,102.6626244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Northwestern36c15,768$5,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,616.7817443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Illinois72c15,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed Illinois62c13,472$8,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,174.059844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Northwestern26c11,877$3,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.9593548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Northwestern28c10,408$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.3134529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Northwestern28c9,124$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.673540%14 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Northwestern29c7,500$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17552641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Illinois52c5,947$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern28c4,494$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.4248546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4862…1a17backed Northwestern18c4,219$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.011145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern27c4,044$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.92,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Northwestern28c3,333$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.244847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Northwestern34c2,953$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Northwestern28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Northwestern29c2,499$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.7510851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Northwestern29c2,200$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6332937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Northwestern28c2,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5507830.8%24 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Northwestern16c1,970$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4964841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Northwestern17c1,867$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.3763243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d83…d3f2backed Northwestern22c1,389$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7260%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern17c1,323$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5655350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Northwestern24c1,323$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.523959%23 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Illinois71c1,273$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.243360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Northwestern29c999.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Northwestern41c821.43$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern21c804.73$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3226940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Northwestern30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Northwestern29c609.6$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.111,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda53…9209backed Northwestern23c539.58$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.282343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Northwestern20c499$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8820553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northwestern20c445$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5321538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Northwestern29c439.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3728440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…4009backed Illinois73c406.85$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.851060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Northwestern11c395$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4521644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Northwestern34c361.76$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Northwestern30c360$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.22454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cc…d8b3backed Northwestern16c320.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Northwestern27c309.76$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6422030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Northwestern25c220.03$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Northwestern42c220$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Northwestern48c210$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Northwestern28c198$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4429249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Illinois71c160.3$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.494052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Northwestern21c152.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.355127.5%14 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern24c145$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6357144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa038…341dbacked Northwestern26c136.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366030%18 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Northwestern12c134.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6686243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9492…1f25backed Illinois61c115.53$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.812240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Northwestern26c108.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.074247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f44…bc79backed Northwestern18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Illinois53c95.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.796233.9%21 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…b560backed Northwestern30c83.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.951338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ea…cdbebacked Illinois73c81.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397d…794fbacked Illinois65c80.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.934443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Northwestern27c70.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0514752.4%77 W · 70 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Illinois71c68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7252449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3304…7048backed Northwestern31c64.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Northwestern29c59.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2150358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern28c58.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3858850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Illinois72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5618868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Illinois72c50.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.172638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Illinois72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.176241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Illinois54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed Illinois71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.53050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Northwestern28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern29c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Illinois68c43.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.841172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Northwestern31c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Illinois79c40.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.552360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd2…2b28backed Northwestern28c39.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70d3…92b6backed Illinois72c36.31$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78b7…c7f9backed Northwestern29c35.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f0…8b02backed Illinois73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.253574.3%26 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Illinois69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf90c…f49cbacked Illinois73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f4…d0f6backed Illinois73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42080%16 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf0…9dd6backed Illinois60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Illinois72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.083948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb97b…5e80backed Illinois72c24.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Illinois71c23.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.943751.4%19 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aca…dfd3backed Illinois71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.134175.6%31 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b09…bdcdbacked Illinois71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131883.3%15 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a74…c3e4backed Illinois73c21.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.694753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99ab…2286backed Illinois77c19.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Illinois72c18.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.114141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x490e…6ea7backed Illinois72c17.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.841855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e3…39f0backed Illinois73c17.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.74252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.