College Football · resolved market
Northwestern vs. Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc179673c456295034e1ebd5126e91d0a79b294631ffc1e5d619bdabff31135e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinoisof Northwestern, Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Illinois | 71c | 39,563$28,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,481.02 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Illinois | 73c | 34,153$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,152.68 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Illinois | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Northwestern | 29c | 29,000$8,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,410 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Northwestern | 26c | 23,790$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204.19 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Northwestern | 29c | 22,637$6,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,551.47 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Northwestern | 20c | 15,829$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.66 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Northwestern | 36c | 15,768$5,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,616.78 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Illinois | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Illinois | 62c | 13,472$8,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.05 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Northwestern | 26c | 11,877$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.95 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Northwestern | 28c | 10,408$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.31 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Northwestern | 28c | 9,124$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.67 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Northwestern | 29c | 7,500$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Illinois | 52c | 5,947$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Northwestern | 28c | 4,494$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.42 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Northwestern | 18c | 4,219$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern | 27c | 4,044$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.9 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Northwestern | 28c | 3,333$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Northwestern | 34c | 2,953$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Northwestern | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Northwestern | 29c | 2,499$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.75 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Northwestern | 29c | 2,200$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Northwestern | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northwestern | 16c | 1,970$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.49 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Northwestern | 17c | 1,867$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.37 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d3f2backed Northwestern | 22c | 1,389$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern | 17c | 1,323$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.56 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Northwestern | 24c | 1,323$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.52 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Illinois | 71c | 1,273$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Northwestern | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Northwestern | 41c | 821.43$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern | 21c | 804.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Northwestern | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Northwestern | 29c | 609.6$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.11 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Northwestern | 23c | 539.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Northwestern | 20c | 499$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northwestern | 20c | 445$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Northwestern | 29c | 439.22$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…4009backed Illinois | 73c | 406.85$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Northwestern | 11c | 395$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Northwestern | 34c | 361.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Northwestern | 30c | 360$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…d8b3backed Northwestern | 16c | 320.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Northwestern | 27c | 309.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Northwestern | 25c | 220.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Northwestern | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Northwestern | 48c | 210$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Northwestern | 28c | 198$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Illinois | 71c | 160.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Northwestern | 21c | 152.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern | 24c | 145$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Northwestern | 26c | 136.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Northwestern | 12c | 134.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed Illinois | 61c | 115.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Northwestern | 26c | 108.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed Northwestern | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Illinois | 53c | 95.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Northwestern | 30c | 83.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…cdbebacked Illinois | 73c | 81.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Illinois | 65c | 80.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Northwestern | 27c | 70.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Illinois | 71c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Northwestern | 31c | 64.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Northwestern | 29c | 59.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern | 28c | 58.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Illinois | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Illinois | 72c | 50.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Illinois | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Illinois | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed Illinois | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Northwestern | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Illinois | 68c | 43.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Northwestern | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Illinois | 79c | 40.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Northwestern | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…92b6backed Illinois | 72c | 36.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b7…c7f9backed Northwestern | 29c | 35.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Illinois | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Illinois | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Illinois | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed Illinois | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf0…9dd6backed Illinois | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Illinois | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97b…5e80backed Illinois | 72c | 24.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Illinois | 71c | 23.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…dfd3backed Illinois | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…bdcdbacked Illinois | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Illinois | 73c | 21.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…2286backed Illinois | 77c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Illinois | 72c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Illinois | 72c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…39f0backed Illinois | 73c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern vs. Illinoisthis page
- Northwestern vs. Illinois: O/U 44.5Under won
- Northwestern vs. Illinois: O/U 45.5Under won
- Northwestern vs. Illinois: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Illinois (-6.5)Illinois won
- Spread: Illinois (-7.5)Northwestern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.