College Football · resolved market
Oregon State vs. Washington State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38630596701364dc8327503d548f43ca4518c62deacca69a0e202f461e6f283b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Stateof Oregon State, Washington State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Oregon State | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon State | 16c | 10,262$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.92 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Oregon State | 17c | 10,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Oregon State | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Oregon State | 16c | 5,214$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.31 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Oregon State | 15c | 2,400$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Oregon State | 16c | 2,361$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Oregon State | 18c | 1,800$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.95 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon State | 16c | 1,706$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Oregon State | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Oregon State | 15c | 1,354$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.15 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Oregon State | 18c | 1,200$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.02 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oregon State | 15c | 1,125$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Oregon State | 8c | 1,095$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oregon State | 11c | 1,025$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Oregon State | 16c | 1,009$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Oregon State | 16c | 812.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Oregon State | 2c | 656$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Oregon State | 16c | 574.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Oregon State | 16c | 540.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Oregon State | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oregon State | 17c | 483$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…a62dbacked Oregon State | 8c | 476.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Oregon State | 17c | 282.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Oregon State | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Oregon State | 16c | 227.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Oregon State | 17c | 160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Oregon State | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon State | 16c | 131$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon State vs. Washington Statethis page
- Spread: Washington State (-13.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Washington State (-14.5)Washington State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.