MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6d59b7dbd2f3a053e2304886660b8bf76b8ee2b59adf7bc597d45831bf6cbc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Chicago Cubs, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 35,245$16,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,770.31 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 23,967$12,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,304.14 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 14,572$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,411.09 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 12,300$6,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,027.18 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 10,057$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 6,932$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.8 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 6,516$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.35 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 5,000$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.6 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 4,413$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.65 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 4,058$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.27 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,992$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 3,922$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.66 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…2a14backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 3,704$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 3,653$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.96 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…bf27backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,371$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.69 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Chicago Cubs | 28c | 2,298$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…cd20backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…2193backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 1,892$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.79 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,842$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.49 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 1,672$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.96 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 1,651$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.34 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 1,586$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.95 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 1,471$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 1,365$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.64 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,169$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 1,073$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…f2b5backed Seattle Mariners | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,046$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.54 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,015$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.05 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 995.89$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.03 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…87e4backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 925.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…9c3dbacked Chicago Cubs | 28c | 889.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…e637backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 889.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…f224backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 889.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 827$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.96 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 823.02$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…1b88backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 770$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.5 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…deabbacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 717.45$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 711.09$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.86 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9766…a41dbacked Chicago Cubs | 67c | 695.93$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 645.43$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.81 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 596.6$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.37 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 479.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 462.47$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.61 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 450.61$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 447.43$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.22 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 441.08$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.13 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 434.74$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.07 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 433.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.73 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…7279backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 415.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Seattle Mariners | 75c | 390$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 379.31$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 344.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 339.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 338$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…d84fbacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 324$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 314.29$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 294.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 294$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.12 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 290.34$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 285.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.32 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Seattle Mariners | 10c | 261.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 256.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 240.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 209.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.1 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 204$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked Seattle Mariners | 10c | 189.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +400%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 188.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 188.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd8…e787backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 188$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 180.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 166.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 165.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Chicago Cubs | 33c | 161.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 152.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 469 | 49.9%234 W · 235 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 148.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 145.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 137.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.