Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83bb4dad0616ce668f0edd64c4eb4a80fc54eb6de4b88b858281898462d54339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8864…3ed5backed Yes | 68c | 4,628$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 4,366$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 3,138$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.44 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 42c | 2,400$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.98 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5128…13d9backed Yes | 33c | 1,516$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 934.74$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 825.83$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.91 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 750.26$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.56 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 62c | 552.17$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.95 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 20c | 441.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 72c | 387$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 33c | 301.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 70c | 296.52$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 30c | 255.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 29c | 238.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.32 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 165$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 23c | 164.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.13 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa478…d961backed Yes | 34c | 125.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 45c | 73.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…c9a0backed Yes | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 53c | 69.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 22c | 66.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 22c | 62.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 77c | 61.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 73c | 58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 46.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked No | 33c | 45.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 77c | 38.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 78c | 35.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 34.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…91ebbacked No | 39c | 32.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 78c | 16.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.