Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7484f6b21012b1dc46844c39c0e64ea65b7abb5078623997a3cfb5fb229d75be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 2,231$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.74 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 21c | 1,713$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,086$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 1,056$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 20c | 948$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 18c | 597$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 7c | 496.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 79c | 483.61$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 21c | 357.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 21c | 309.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 265.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 18c | 198.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 10c | 129$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 16c | 124.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 24c | 123.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 91 | 20.9%19 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…0448backed Yes | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 87.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 75.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…a74cbacked Yes | 19c | 73.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1e40backed Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 80c | 17.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.