South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Internacional win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5643db9e0949d452753116420f217e6864b2fa00071ed3a343ebacf39da60527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 59c | 40,000$23,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,404.43 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 41c | 12,285$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.66 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 9,965$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 45c | 9,683$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 47c | 6,440$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.58 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 4,424$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 3,588$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.44 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 3,226$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.56 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 41c | 2,989$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.64 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 6c | 1,293$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 62c | 945.86$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Yes | 58c | 867.17$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed No | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed No | 43c | 750$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 41c | 742.74$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.95 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed No | 7c | 632.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 59c | 489.42$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 56c | 464$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 54c | 416.04$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 41c | 368$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 42c | 142$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…6289backed Yes | 59c | 107.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 41c | 90.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 28c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 77.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 72.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 57c | 59.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed No | 43c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 56c | 49.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed No | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a4…9106backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…91ebbacked Yes | 60c | 32.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…91c7backed Yes | 67c | 29.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Yes | 61c | 17.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 59c | 17.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 77c | 14.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Internacional win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will SC Internacional vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.