TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,647

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,215 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c10,599$7,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.8193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c8,021$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.232,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No65c7,586$4,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.2912050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes25c6,892$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No71c5,466$3,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.1496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes38c5,340$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.22839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No60c4,000$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.9922551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c3,840$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.981,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No75c3,775$2,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.757444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes30c3,245$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.7159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes7c3,087$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.362536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No64c2,308$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.732843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed No62c1,602$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.321258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes38c1,569$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.7727737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes30c1,337$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9715550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No65c1,122$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.985369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes44c914.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes32c790.63$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No62c756.81$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0620841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes31c600$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes36c550$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.82646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes2c539.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7438744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c515$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No58c504.04$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.711848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes30c497.69$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506050%30 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes71c487.17$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.895658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes3c478.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.320033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No67c421.44$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6424849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes24c410.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002536%9 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fe…7365backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No60c365.38$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.154355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.852133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6622…25d5backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…4cc0backed Yes27c270$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes35c260.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes37c241.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes39c235.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.792254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7613040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes20c193.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes33c179.04$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.534717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes61c171.54$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6422373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes42c167.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No74c161.88$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.563658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked No31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.292055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes33c151.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes39c120.08$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4713155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes42c117.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes37c115.14$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.615253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3205…d8ccbacked No62c112$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd45…6505backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810744.9%48 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed Yes24c95.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes44c91.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes39c89.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc96b…b045backed Yes43c89.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No69c84.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4713639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.375944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes26c72.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.979124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No59c72$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.526055%33 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1fb…7c39backed Yes21c71.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67de…42a3backed Yes43c64.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes38c62.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3341943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes42c60.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+37%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3882…281ebacked Yes39c58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb847…4540backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Yes28c56.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.884727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a9b…733abacked Yes39c54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8041…1987backed No58c53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…07aabacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd6e…7a2bbacked Yes44c52.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked No72c51.79$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206323.8%15 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes39c50.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015755.4%87 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5356…47b7backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2822…741dbacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick38cpaid+104.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7068…8236backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976c…7634backed No78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.