Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0fef091539ddf5f7ca70ed9d633c4d8d38edbff93190251f73a3b7b246e6ce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 30c | 35,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 34,815$24,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,444.35 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked No | 75c | 13,345$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 14c | 9,735$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.84 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 7,425$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.49 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 4,788$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.95 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 2,581$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.96 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 70c | 2,257$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.14 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 25c | 1,997$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.22 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 26c | 1,613$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.38 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 70c | 1,439$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,250$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 26c | 1,244$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.56 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 23c | 1,170$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.03 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,086$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.51 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,007$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 820$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 712$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.12 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 571$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 538.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 70c | 530.07$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed No | 71c | 475.7$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 30c | 399.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 347.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 27c | 325.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 22c | 310.76$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 304$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 68c | 220.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 79c | 207.41$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 159.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…663cbacked Yes | 24c | 154$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…c13ebacked No | 74c | 151.66$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 28c | 143.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 14c | 141.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…4cc0backed Yes | 20c | 116.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 76c | 116.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 31c | 111.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed No | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…7066backed Yes | 31c | 89.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 21c | 85.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed No | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…de63backed No | 70c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 18c | 67.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5356…47b7backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…4851backed Yes | 19c | 63.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 21c | 62.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…d68bbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed No | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…91ebbacked Yes | 24c | 49.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…8d2fbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed No | 71c | 43.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…ee23backed Yes | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 64c | 42.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c13…3d2bbacked Yes | 33c | 42.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed No | 71c | 40.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…8bdfbacked Yes | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.