Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bcade676253026914c0342f1844de1fb01d3782fdaa51a3f52b57f6110cb1b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 40c | 9,188$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.73 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 8,146$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.97 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 68c | 4,528$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.98 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 61c | 2,106$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.37 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,953$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.3 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 41c | 1,741$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.81 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 1,685$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.32 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 57c | 783.49$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.07 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Yes | 68c | 524.5$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 474.48$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.9 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 33c | 470.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a3…4b31backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed No | 44c | 386.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 27c | 370$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked No | 68c | 231.88$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 68c | 230.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 48c | 195.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 28c | 138$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 17c | 117.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…3d13backed No | 69c | 101$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 63c | 100.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 41c | 90.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 70c | 88.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 16c | 65.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…fee8backed Yes | 33c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 67c | 58.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…eafebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 73c | 54.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…d99abacked Yes | 33c | 53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Yes | 41c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 44c | 44.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 68c | 36.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…d0f6backed No | 53c | 33.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…9f7fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1c75backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed No | 41c | 27.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 25.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 23.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 20.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 62c | 17.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.