Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC København win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bbb7715261d844236ce1416beb8ad062937a4abc927b944f95b416d35a58a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 42c | 50,000$20,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,099.97 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 58c | 21,734$12,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,705.64 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 58c | 12,690$7,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,360.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 12,437$7,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,213.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 61c | 1,510$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.15 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 1,376$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.9 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 45c | 1,109$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.05 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 22c | 1,097$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.15 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…3536backed Yes | 66c | 961.79$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 40c | 882.04$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.32 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 58c | 515.19$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.81 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 482.9$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 39c | 481.97$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d59…778dbacked No | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed Yes | 61c | 426.23$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 13c | 352.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 27c | 352.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 296.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 59c | 228.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 61c | 181.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 173.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 10c | 152.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 35c | 144.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 42c | 143.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…91ebbacked Yes | 58c | 133.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x139a…34bbbacked No | 38c | 129.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 61c | 98.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 85.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 72c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 40c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 36c | 55.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed No | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 40c | 36.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 59c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…a952backed Yes | 58c | 33.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…9b59backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Yes | 61c | 19.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e0…beecbacked Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Yes | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Yes | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 59c | 17.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will FC København vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?No won
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.