NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71eccf4801edc93d25b101da68e7858633e87e3329c9c6e4b94bcc9e3d7629cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raidersof Broncos, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $795,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $843,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $795,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Broncos | 55c | 539,182$298,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298,935.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raiders | 44c | 427,989$188,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239,564.84 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Broncos | 50c | 75,986$37,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,862.22 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raiders | 48c | 72,235$34,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,843.98 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Raiders | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Raiders | 50c | 41,747$20,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,992.45 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Raiders | 41c | 20,672$8,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,283.79 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raiders | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Broncos | 54c | 17,935$9,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,642.15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Raiders | 51c | 14,706$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,205.88 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Broncos | 49c | 13,817$6,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,770.23 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Broncos | 50c | 11,609$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,798.68 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Raiders | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Broncos | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Raiders | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.99 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Broncos | 61c | 6,000$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Broncos | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Raiders | 49c | 5,873$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Raiders | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Raiders | 54c | 4,219$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.75 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raiders | 37c | 4,060$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.5 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Broncos | 50c | 3,781$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.5 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Broncos | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Broncos | 48c | 3,412$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.93 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Broncos | 51c | 3,033$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Broncos | 61c | 3,029$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.46 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Broncos | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Broncos | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Raiders | 48c | 2,466$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.4 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raiders | 41c | 2,289$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.72 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Broncos | 51c | 1,942$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Broncos | 49c | 1,719$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.98 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Broncos | 52c | 1,680$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Raiders | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raiders | 45c | 1,312$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.51 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Broncos | 68c | 1,213$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.9 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Raiders | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.03 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Raiders | 52c | 1,125$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.82 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Broncos | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Raiders | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.63 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Raiders | 47c | 848.22$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.56 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Broncos | 58c | 800$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Broncos | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Broncos | 50c | 709$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raiders | 51c | 676$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.24 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Raiders | 44c | 602.27$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.27 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Raiders | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raiders | 46c | 518.37$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.16 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Raiders | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Broncos | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Raiders | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Broncos | 51c | 399$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Broncos | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Broncos | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Broncos | 50c | 315.57$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Raiders | 48c | 304$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Raiders | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Broncos | 50c | 299.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Raiders | 50c | 244$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked Broncos | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Raiders | 46c | 235.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Raiders | 44c | 230$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Raiders | 37c | 223.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Broncos | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raiders | 47c | 212.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Raiders | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Raiders | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Raiders | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Broncos | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Raiders | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Broncos | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…ba65backed Raiders | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Raiders | 38c | 149.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Broncos | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Broncos | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Raiders | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Raiders | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…c942backed Broncos | 61c | 106.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Raiders | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Raiders | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…6219backed Raiders | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Raiders | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Broncos | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Broncos | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Raiders | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Raiders | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Broncos | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Broncos | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Broncos | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Broncos | 43c | 94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Raiders | 59c | 85.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Broncos | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…91ebbacked Raiders | 42c | 82.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Broncos | 49c | 80.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Broncos | 65c | 79.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Raiders | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…c816backed Broncos | 56c | 71.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Broncos | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…e9dbbacked Broncos | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Raiders | 48c | 50.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Broncos (-4.5)Broncos won
- Broncos vs. RaidersBroncos won
- Broncos vs. Raiders: O/U 39.5Over won
- Broncos vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5Over won
- Raiders Team Total: O/U 16.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-8.5)Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.