College Football · resolved market
O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6be8a3760ab3c4d8b6e0032db73435238aa96f00c0c85aba9ffb4c5374adc934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Over | 52c | 75,755$39,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,062.48 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 49c | 30,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,400 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Under | 50c | 17,973$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,973.49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 15,055$7,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,828.6 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 7,508$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.19 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 3,786$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.87 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 2,536$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.42 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 49c | 2,521$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.4 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,843$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.78 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,451$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.1 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 50c | 1,170$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Over | 53c | 711.23$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 592$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.92 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 48c | 583$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.16 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 536.92$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.15 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Over | 51c | 360$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 256$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Under | 53c | 254.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb3…05e5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 53c | 189.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Over | 62c | 136.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 49c | 105.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Over | 52c | 74.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed Over | 52c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 53c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…eafebacked Under | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…b07dbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 54c | 33.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Over | 45c | 33.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…91ebbacked Under | 53c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…0a46backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 50.5this page
- BYU vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-13.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.