Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-13.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf3bf61eda8febc9dffbeb20addd459cc0553187d7dd994c444d6e9f5b0ccdf

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, BYU
Resolved: Dec 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $141,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $151,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,047 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in College Football
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed BYU	52c	42,528$22,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,113.81	935	48.4%453 W · 482 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	48c	37,029$17,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,255.59	588	50.2%295 W · 293 L	+23.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed BYU	61c	30,000$18,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,449.98	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	47c	16,230$7,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,601.9	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+13.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	46c	10,818$5,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,809.57	2,013	49.6%999 W · 1,014 L	+24.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6f…89b9backed BYU	53c	10,232$5,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400.64	98	44.9%44 W · 54 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	48c	9,872$4,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,133.44	818	47.9%392 W · 426 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed BYU	52c	7,500$3,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,934.98	290	55.2%160 W · 130 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	45c	6,696$3,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,649.54	262	44.3%116 W · 146 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	64c	6,471$4,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,311.41	648	41.2%267 W · 381 L	+12.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed BYU	16c	5,524$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.82	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked BYU	55c	4,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked BYU	43c	3,031$1,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,309.26	628	43.6%274 W · 354 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	49c	2,782$1,363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,419.55	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	48c	2,501$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300.28	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed BYU	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325	399	54.1%216 W · 183 L	+16.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	46c	2,430$1,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,307.82	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	30c	2,282$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600.07	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+14.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	50c	2,002$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.16	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	30c	2,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	632	43.7%276 W · 356 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+138.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed BYU	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	48c	1,760$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.74	384	50.5%194 W · 190 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	48c	1,737$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.42	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	48c	1,529$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.09	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked BYU	55c	1,500$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked BYU	58c	1,147$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.65	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-7.4wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	57c	1,016$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.7	862	43.7%377 W · 485 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	45c	750.88$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.98	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BYU	55c	620$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341	134	44%59 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed BYU	53c	458$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.74	524	49.4%259 W · 265 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	49c	439.49$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.49	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed BYU	53c	428.99$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.37	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	48c	350$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed BYU	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	109	44%48 W · 61 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed BYU	43c	224.72$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.52	269	39.8%107 W · 162 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	30c	202.04$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.75	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked BYU	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	46c	199.96$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.71	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked BYU	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	174	50%87 W · 87 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	48c	156.25$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.25	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	47c	148.94$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.94	302	53%160 W · 142 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked BYU	55c	136.36$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	47c	115$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.95	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	47c	114.56$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.28	542	43.2%234 W · 308 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	33c	113.55$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.19	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	49c	111$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.61	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…7364backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	49c	110$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+105.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…e59abacked BYU	53c	107.55$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd30c…614cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	30c	100$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	258	19.8%51 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked BYU	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed BYU	53c	67.92$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	47c	67.92$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	526	41.8%220 W · 306 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f4…71f8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked BYU	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f8…79a8backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	46c	48.13$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.99	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	219	41.6%91 W · 128 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed BYU	54c	45.69$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.67	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e9…9c03backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	50c	33.56$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.88	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	49c	33.03$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.85	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-4.4wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed BYU	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	36c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	110	56.4%62 W · 48 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed BYU	38c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3659…1c2dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	49c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed BYU	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	123	46.3%57 W · 66 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked BYU	51c	29.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.29	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	46c	27.76$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.08	485	46.8%227 W · 258 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	48c	21.28$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.07	60	60%36 W · 24 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed BYU	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-13.5)this page
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech Red Raiders won
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 49.5Under won
O/U 50.5Under won
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-12.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-13.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event