Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Kansas State Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4fe6e0691db1d48208637709372bc33b9e9e1be8c26ecf0e24b49f312812389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seton Hall Piratesof Seton Hall Pirates, Kansas State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas State Wildcats | 39c | 5,697$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.64 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 15c | 2,807$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 25c | 2,565$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.18 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 70c | 2,429$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.96 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seton Hall Pirates | 77c | 1,773$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.95 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 64c | 1,174$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.81 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Seton Hall Pirates | 45c | 1,104$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.7 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seton Hall Pirates | 62c | 1,087$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.07 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas State Wildcats | 31c | 1,002$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas State Wildcats | 64c | 983$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.07 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Seton Hall Pirates | 36c | 977$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.28 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kansas State Wildcats | 22c | 910$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.36 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Seton Hall Pirates | 41c | 885.11$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.21 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.03 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas State Wildcats | 36c | 549.43$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 55c | 543.1$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.45 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 23c | 479.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 58c | 459.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kansas State Wildcats | 56c | 447$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.32 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 56c | 400$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Kansas State Wildcats | 10c | 340.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 44c | 299.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 56c | 292.92$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seton Hall Pirates | 77c | 155.03$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Seton Hall Pirates | 67c | 150.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas State Wildcats | 10c | 107$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Kansas State Wildcats | 20c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Kansas State Wildcats | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 53c | 93.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Seton Hall Pirates | 69c | 90.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Kansas State Wildcats | 17c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…b07dbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 70c | 73.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 54c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Kansas State Wildcats | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Seton Hall Pirates | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Seton Hall Pirates | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Kansas State Wildcats | 57c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Kansas State Wildcats | 57c | 34.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Kansas State Wildcats | 54c | 30.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Kansas State Wildcats | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Seton Hall Pirates | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…91ebbacked Kansas State Wildcats | 41c | 25.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Seton Hall Pirates | 51c | 24.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Kansas State Wildcatsthis page
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 145.5Under won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 147.5Under won
- Seton Hall Pirates vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.