NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Ravens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67fa536f0656849558b515fc5ea695dddb24a3677315c00517b25390ada9531d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Chiefs, Ravens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Ravens | 11c | 31,723$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.65 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Ravens | 42c | 26,485$11,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,134.26 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Chiefs | 62c | 21,329$13,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,203.28 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Ravens | 25c | 13,141$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.46 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Ravens | 42c | 11,893$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Chiefs | 59c | 11,808$7,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.87 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Chiefs | 59c | 10,750$6,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,408.88 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Ravens | 12c | 10,204$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.89 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Chiefs | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Ravens | 41c | 6,731$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.51 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…a205backed Ravens | 43c | 6,609$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Chiefs | 74c | 6,463$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.9 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Ravens | 10c | 5,892$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Ravens | 35c | 5,000$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.18 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Chiefs | 58c | 4,518$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.53 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Ravens | 28c | 3,804$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.94 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Chiefs | 58c | 3,575$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.31 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…075fbacked Chiefs | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Ravens | 28c | 2,366$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.7 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Chiefs | 64c | 2,300$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Ravens | 27c | 2,092$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.7 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Ravens | 16c | 2,009$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.44 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Chiefs | 72c | 1,880$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.88 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Chiefs | 58c | 1,854$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.74 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Ravens | 34c | 1,797$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.75 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Ravens | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Chiefs | 65c | 1,722$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.7 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c15fbacked Chiefs | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Ravens | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…ee8ebacked Chiefs | 71c | 1,416$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.64 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Ravens | 15c | 1,388$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.45 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Ravens | 23c | 1,248$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.93 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Chiefs | 58c | 1,222$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.8 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Ravens | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Chiefs | 60c | 1,159$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.68 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…529bbacked Ravens | 26c | 1,128$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ravens | 42c | 1,111$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.62 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Ravens | 9c | 1,081$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…ff67backed Chiefs | 69c | 1,079$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Ravens | 37c | 1,071$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Chiefs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Chiefs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked Chiefs | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked Chiefs | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Chiefs | 60c | 961.21$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.21 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Ravens | 42c | 951.9$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Chiefs | 57c | 933.54$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.42 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked Ravens | 45c | 897.06$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.48 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…b9c6backed Chiefs | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Chiefs | 54c | 756.96$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.77 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…89b5backed Chiefs | 67c | 721.03$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…9ff3backed Ravens | 42c | 719.21$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Ravens | 35c | 671.46$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.05 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Chiefs | 57c | 649.46$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.27 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Chiefs | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked Ravens | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…365fbacked Chiefs | 78c | 596$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Ravens | 41c | 568.33$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.33 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…fe4fbacked Chiefs | 59c | 549.61$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd20…6209backed Chiefs | 59c | 525.51$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Chiefs | 58c | 520.98$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.81 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…282cbacked Chiefs | 59c | 518.58$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +155.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…80b3backed Ravens | 42c | 509.52$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Chiefs | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Ravens | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…f468backed Ravens | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Chiefs | 68c | 499.7$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Ravens | 41c | 483.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.46 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…30c5backed Chiefs | 59c | 466.1$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…1622backed Ravens | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked Chiefs | 52c | 449.23$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…d65dbacked Ravens | 13c | 430$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Ravens | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…dd3bbacked Chiefs | 59c | 406.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed Ravens | 19c | 377.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…7d78backed Ravens | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Chiefs | 58c | 343.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Chiefs | 58c | 343.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Chiefs | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Ravens | 37c | 325$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…13c4backed Chiefs | 59c | 322.03$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9504…01ebbacked Chiefs | 59c | 308.11$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Chiefs | 59c | 300.82$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed Chiefs | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Chiefs | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb1…e300backed Chiefs | 60c | 298.33$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d0…9a6ebacked Ravens | 41c | 295.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd580…a0d5backed Ravens | 41c | 292.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…bbb7backed Chiefs | 43c | 285$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…6d42backed Chiefs | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Chiefs | 44c | 257.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Chiefs | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed Ravens | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Ravens | 41c | 232$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Chiefs | 59c | 216$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…b501backed Ravens | 36c | 213.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Ravens | 28c | 210.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…0558backed Ravens | 42c | 209.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +171%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Ravens | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Ravens | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.