NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffc57722ef27e8bd300466527140b98650feb700f47e25b0242a4e8e2f55ded1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Chargers | 60c | 10,754$6,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.88 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Raiders | 46c | 8,451$3,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.54 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Raiders | 41c | 7,394$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.65 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Chargers | 61c | 5,704$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.31 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Chargers | 57c | 5,026$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.06 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Raiders | 49c | 3,300$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.54 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Chargers | 51c | 3,123$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.42 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Chargers | 60c | 3,100$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Raiders | 40c | 2,511$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.58 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raiders | 41c | 2,500$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.11 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Raiders | 48c | 2,390$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.2 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Chargers | 60c | 1,770$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.64 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Raiders | 41c | 1,200$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.91 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Raiders | 40c | 1,085$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.88 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…73eebacked Chargers | 62c | 1,075$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +122%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Chargers | 70c | 1,021$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.27 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Raiders | 43c | 850$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c15fbacked Chargers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Chargers | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Chargers | 61c | 777$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.48 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Chargers | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Raiders | 31c | 650.64$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.57 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Raiders | 42c | 633$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Chargers | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Chargers | 60c | 555.04$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.02 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Chargers | 60c | 539.57$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Chargers | 61c | 500$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked Chargers | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…30c5backed Raiders | 41c | 451.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Raiders | 6c | 431.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Chargers | 56c | 399.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raiders | 54c | 380.02$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.01 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Chargers | 64c | 346.88$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Chargers | 59c | 308.06$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Raiders | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Chargers | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Raiders | 41c | 251.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Chargers | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Raiders | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked Chargers | 41c | 226.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Chargers | 59c | 220$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab2…6435backed Chargers | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed Raiders | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed Raiders | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…0c87backed Chargers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Chargers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Chargers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…94d6backed Chargers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Chargers | 68c | 165$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…d36abacked Raiders | 53c | 161.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Raiders | 63c | 161$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Raiders | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…c492backed Raiders | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Raiders | 68c | 129.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…dfd0backed Chargers | 37c | 121.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…413abacked Chargers | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…cc3ebacked Raiders | 39c | 102.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Chargers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Raiders | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Chargers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Chargers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Raiders | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…0b70backed Raiders | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Raiders | 64c | 90.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 195 | 64.6%126 W · 69 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Chargers | 61c | 82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked Chargers | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Raiders | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Chargers | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Raiders | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed Raiders | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…daa5backed Chargers | 58c | 64.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…836bbacked Chargers | 61c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Chargers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18b…1203backed Raiders | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Chargers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1245…075fbacked Chargers | 59c | 45.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a3…4d04backed Raiders | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…8df9backed Raiders | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…9ca2backed Raiders | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Chargers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…08fabacked Chargers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Chargers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c5…f001backed Chargers | 77c | 27.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d6…ad8bbacked Chargers | 57c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…2c27backed Raiders | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…d25abacked Chargers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Chargers | 60c | 23.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.