Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe89a0fea084e7e9c28672a0898e70f5c5263e81f98b37ab15a9a6bde09c5de80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Xtreme Gaming, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,012 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 18,439$12,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,484.96 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 12,293$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,426.41 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 12,111$8,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,513.43 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 11,778$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,330.24 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 8,000$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,573.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 4,997$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.98 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 4,742$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.06 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 4,300$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.92 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 4,205$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.51 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 3,711$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.41 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 3,246$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.12 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Nemesis | 45c | 2,909$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.22 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 2,455$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.22 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c5…b9b6backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 2,291$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.52 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Nemesis | 25c | 2,288$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.96 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…8dd1backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 2,266$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 2,182$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.81 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 1,890$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.24 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 1,752$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.28 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,717$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.41 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,701$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 1,596$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 1,501$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.88 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Nemesis | 12c | 1,461$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.04 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,382$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.6 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 1,150$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.5 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 1,040$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.34 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Nemesis | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 999.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.98 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 999.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.97 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 990.26$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 977.67$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.79 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 962.5$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.5 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 883.91$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.01 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 862.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.69 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 857.77$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 831.77$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.69 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 798.2$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.2 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 792.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.13 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 760$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.4 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 730.17$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.02 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9392…c94dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 725.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 700$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 693.59$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.57 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 686.44$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.2 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 682$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.81 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 675.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.42 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…d166backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 649.98$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 638.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.81 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 628.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.56 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 608$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.4 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 583.1$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.72 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 516.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.97 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 417.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.08 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd7…ee69backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 404.88$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.37 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…04babacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 393.03$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 390.97$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.4 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…16c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 389.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 387.15$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.28 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 367.1$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 338.89$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 336.12$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…193bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 324.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 324.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 319.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.75 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 288.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 286.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 262.04$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 256.22$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…270ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 243.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 241.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc5…1cb0backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 236.55$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…5664backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 232.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 220$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 210.12$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 210$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 209.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 190.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 186.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 171.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 165.68$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 147.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 142.48$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…08a4backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 139.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 139.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 131.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 130.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 129.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 127.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 126.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.