Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19f1ccbd12fb9c9ca938b25d8271c79663060ed39a3a6d7230ce683c5bcb2a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,921 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 9,527$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.47 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 8,923$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.85 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 8,368$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 5,925$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.86 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Nemesis | 12c | 5,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…8dd1backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 3,409$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Nemesis | 32c | 2,880$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.2 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Team Nemesis | 4c | 1,742$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 1,391$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.25 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 1,186$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.02 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 1,044$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.27 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,025$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.32 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 897.47$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 878.72$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 799.99$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.6 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 746.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…d166backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 700$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 665.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 665.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.83 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 632.98$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.07 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…a3babacked Team Nemesis | 3c | 480.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 424.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 393.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 362.86$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.94 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 341.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Nemesis | 4c | 327.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 326.39$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 301$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 300.42$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…1b4cbacked Team Nemesis | 33c | 241.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 233.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…95d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 224.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 210.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 210.02$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Team Nemesis | 8c | 204.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 200.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 184.51$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked Team Nemesis | 34c | 164.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 155.37$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Team Nemesis | 9c | 150.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 123.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 122.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Team Nemesis | 29c | 113.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 105.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54cf…e36dbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 96.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a3abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 70.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…88d6backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 63.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 187 | 69%129 W · 58 L | +20.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Team Nemesis | 37c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…3006backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 55.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 55.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 50.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 47.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 47.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfa…e053backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 44.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 43.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 37.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 29.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.