TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$332,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$365,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No5c48,644$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.7158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No6c10,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5507750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No5c10,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9914953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No5c7,000$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35729136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked No3c5,799$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.175923.7%14 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No6c5,050$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed No2c4,985$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.71338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick24cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No4c4,645$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.541,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No4c4,371$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.768938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No6c3,873$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.535335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No4c3,000$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12322147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No6c3,000$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18315032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505347.2%25 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No2c2,835$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.734342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe124…a7acbacked No6c2,790$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No6c2,626$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.78149.4%40 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No6c2,500$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.54045%18 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No5c2,035$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7220948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No6c2,000$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No6c1,862$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.472458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked No6c1,790$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.24450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+108.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No5c1,500$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8124327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No1c1,395$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5220042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No8c1,238$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0438935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No6c1,157$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.563619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed No5c1,106$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552425%6 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed No4c1,100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.553831.6%12 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No5c999.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5211737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed No6c999.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa543…d86ebacked No5c976.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No6c956$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2221460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No6c921.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.057924.1%19 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc4…3c1dbacked No6c908.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No5c901.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.36540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No6c874.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No6c823.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5910953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No6c781.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.032454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No6c700$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.25226.9%14 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed No5c685.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No6c599.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed No6c555.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e1…7265backed No6c537.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.663531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No5c511.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.31877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.513644.1%60 W · 76 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked No6c499.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+97.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No5c499.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59843.9%43 W · 55 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ba9…0057backed No6c494$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c9…5598backed No7c493$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67fa…e997backed No6c487$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ea…6ea5backed No7c481$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…f6c4backed No7c480$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee2…e318backed No6c476$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b07…c7dcbacked No6c473$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e4…85bfbacked No6c470$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2999…1b61backed No6c464$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed No6c462.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4655…6897backed No6c455.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5061…dfdbbacked No6c452$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57b…778fbacked No6c446$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed No6c431.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fb…a4bdbacked No6c429$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea7a…6438backed No6c429$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe61…db0bbacked No6c426$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d8f…a327backed No6c423$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b93…c853backed No6c413$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x384c…2611backed No7c408$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c79…1593backed No5c392.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6c…30c5backed No6c391.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9a…336bbacked No6c362.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55f1…2c31backed No6c349.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No6c346.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2622356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed No6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed No7c307.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205724.6%14 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No5c300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec1…1913backed No5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd454…0533backed No6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cee…78abbacked No6c299.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2d…54cfbacked No6c264.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.283231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No10c260$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.138971.9%64 W · 25 L+12.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf0f0…4f28backed No6c250$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b73…df68backed No6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c61…f5c9backed No6c250$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3576…09debacked No6c243.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c3…1331backed No5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No5c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed No6c176.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed No8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed Yes77c82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.