Champions League · resolved market
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b8356fa523fb858c63390da5d7fbfc5fa9b19c42d4b8dd22115c5ca1e34c642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 35,705$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 2c | 19,617$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.95 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 2c | 16,752$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.79 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 2c | 7,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…a978backed Yes | 2c | 5,806$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…8093backed Yes | 2c | 5,567$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,068$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 2c | 5,050$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…a9acbacked Yes | 0c | 4,333$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 1c | 3,916$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 2c | 3,660$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,576$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…bcefbacked Yes | 1c | 3,343$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Yes | 1c | 2,999$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,808$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,657$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 2c | 2,641$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…267abacked Yes | 2c | 2,143$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 1c | 2,005$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…bcd0backed Yes | 2c | 1,958$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 9c | 1,858$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 2c | 1,773$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6f…067bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,700$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 2c | 1,700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…f201backed Yes | 2c | 1,660$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 2c | 1,536$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 2c | 1,499$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 1c | 1,359$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 2c | 1,245$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 2c | 1,128$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…dce1backed Yes | 2c | 1,044$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,023$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…6c1ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 1c | 989.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Yes | 2c | 973.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 1c | 956$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 2c | 941.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 2c | 937.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e54…0b5ebacked Yes | 2c | 921.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf5…9385backed Yes | 2c | 900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…321dbacked Yes | 2c | 889.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 2c | 851.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 2c | 801.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 775.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…0e14backed Yes | 2c | 764.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…6527backed Yes | 2c | 650.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…1ad4backed Yes | 2c | 582.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…a94fbacked Yes | 2c | 552.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd678…96a7backed Yes | 2c | 512.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…6696backed Yes | 2c | 501.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 3c | 414.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 3c | 376.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…68e1backed Yes | 4c | 269.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 76c | 108.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.