Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf5c834ca8e832a9f2e977a1fa56ea44dbc30576420022eedf9c75c5d2ce13ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Power Rangers, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Power Rangers | 50c | 6,202$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.05 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 5,907$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.44 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Power Rangers | 55c | 3,187$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.51 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Power Rangers | 48c | 3,075$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.82 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 1,858$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.09 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 1,632$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 1,463$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers | 51c | 1,204$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.17 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 799.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.99 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 704$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.02 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…3d8abacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 617.16$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Power Rangers | 54c | 602.16$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.17 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 573.33$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.33 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 559.48$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.35 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.2 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 497.38$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.69 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Power Rangers | 5c | 493.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Power Rangers | 50c | 423.81$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Power Rangers | 51c | 378$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.21 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 330.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.51 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Power Rangers | 52c | 315.45$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 309.71$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.54 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 305.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…265ebacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Power Rangers | 41c | 218.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Power Rangers | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Power Rangers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 376 | 54.8%206 W · 170 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed Power Rangers | 47c | 104.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…a71dbacked Power Rangers | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Power Rangers | 49c | 74.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Power Rangers | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebb…1f99backed Power Rangers | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Power Rangers | 56c | 56.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 53.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Power Rangers | 59c | 39.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Power Rangers | 58c | 34.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…f346backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 30.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x121a…91b7backed Power Rangers | 54c | 30.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Power Rangers | 53c | 30.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Power Rangers | 55c | 22.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 17.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3)Rune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.