Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fb2d89150729a0b42237a54ea4a51b640297e91554c3d6b00923fe81ee34f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Power Rangers, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Power Rangers | 24c | 4,302$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.46 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 2,371$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.49 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Power Rangers | 46c | 1,075$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.3 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rune Eaters | 77c | 831.61$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…a0b7backed Power Rangers | 7c | 667.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rune Eaters | 72c | 550.67$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Rune Eaters | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Power Rangers | 41c | 439.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Power Rangers | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.95 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Power Rangers | 61c | 288.94$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 55c | 263.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 238.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.44 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Power Rangers | 5c | 226.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 202.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…0fbdbacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 172.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 162.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Power Rangers | 39c | 128.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Power Rangers | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Rune Eaters | 61c | 119.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Rune Eaters | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…f346backed Power Rangers | 55c | 91.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed Power Rangers | 47c | 70.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Power Rangers | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Power Rangers | 53c | 43.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters | 80c | 40.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 38.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebb…1f99backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Power Rangers | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Power Rangers | 42c | 26.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Power Rangers | 52c | 24.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3)Rune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.